MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a048c3360f1653c44c520b9e3b7a73ae1576c26ca0589df10de448fc81b082f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 45,715$23,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,991.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…8235backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 33,635$15,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,978.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 27,994$14,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,156.97 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 15,565$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.53 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 15,470$7,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,266.12 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 14,922$7,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,013.37 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 12,741$5,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,977.68 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Minnesota Twins | 22c | 11,368$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.17 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 10,752$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.02 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446f…b09fbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 10,327$5,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,773.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 8,532$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.28 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 7,944$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.48 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…e364backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 7,200$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 5,579$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.57 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 4,583$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.47 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…d66fbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 4,412$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 3,963$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.92 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6d37backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,238$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 2,680$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 2,259$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.11 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,186$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.33 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,043$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,979$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.13 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 1,624$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.8 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 1,532$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,444$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.54 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Minnesota Twins | 1c | 1,410$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 1,399$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Minnesota Twins | 10c | 1,332$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.04 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 1,281$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,251$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.72 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…36c8backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,055$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.55 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Minnesota Twins | 10c | 1,007$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 967.55$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.75 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 850$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 802.94$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.32 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 741.23$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 678$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.1 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 595$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.65 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 562.45$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.24 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 512.45$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…9640backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 506$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Minnesota Twins | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 490$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 487.1$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.69 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 486.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 470$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Minnesota Twins | 24c | 444.12$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 432.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 402.4$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Minnesota Twins | 29c | 376$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203c…2082backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 368.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Minnesota Twins | 29c | 367.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 330.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 286.65$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.17 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 273.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.61 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 270$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 263.65$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.95 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 241.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 228.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 220.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 220.61$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 212.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…a907backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 207.19$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 202.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 8c | 201.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 192$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 187.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 182.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 182.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 181.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 180.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…fe92backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 155.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…357abacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…0e1bbacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 142.85$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 140.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 3.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.