TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f26…fe92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$5.16
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.64
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$66.64
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$338.91
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$165.67
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.52
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.94
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+271.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.93
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+145.2%+$29.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$36.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+29%+$21.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.