Golf · resolved market
LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ad64f3d2ffcf4ed130f37d432e7cb410c1b5997b5367231bd8b3bcaea1a5ecb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc29…f1bbbacked Yes | 29c | 842.96$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1d12backed Yes | 28c | 435.27$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 72c | 429.37$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 238.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Yes | 28c | 200.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a45…625cbacked Yes | 31c | 131.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…fe92backed No | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…e527backed Yes | 30c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06aa…52d9backed Yes | 27c | 105.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +381.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…36c1backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 52c | 80.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 26c | 59.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…ff8ebacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…c61fbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…63d3backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 69c | 41.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed Yes | 29c | 38.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked No | 66c | 33.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.