TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfc29…f1bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Commodities at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-89.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.49
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.07
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.98
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.98
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.58
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.45
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.6
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.25
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.98
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.06
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.45
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.45
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.19
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+284.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.36
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.07
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.04
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+4,900%+$1,960
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.98
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+315.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.21
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+109%+$90.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.