MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6e404ca17ec02b3a083ab60c8e9c0620942e9a74e0b2d414fd44dcc6864f2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof New York Mets, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce2e…1519backed New York Mets | 53c | 35,000$18,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,549.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 26,587$12,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,091.35 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed New York Mets | 0c | 18,801$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked San Francisco Giants | 63c | 11,844$7,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.68 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 11,085$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,875.29 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.98 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.97 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 9,338$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.09 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 52c | 8,648$4,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,525.67 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…d41cbacked New York Mets | 51c | 8,381$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Mets | 53c | 5,930$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.2 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…8b6dbacked New York Mets | 4c | 5,356$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked New York Mets | 42c | 4,865$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.48 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Mets | 53c | 4,796$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.75 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 4,650$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.06 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed New York Mets | 53c | 4,401$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.32 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 4,333$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.35 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 3,951$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 24c | 3,436$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.23 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Mets | 53c | 3,347$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.85 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed New York Mets | 35c | 2,983$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,724$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.98 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,374$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.28 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 45c | 2,331$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.67 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,228$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.68 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked New York Mets | 53c | 2,113$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.82 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,072$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.1 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Mets | 6c | 1,919$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.99 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 18c | 1,832$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.97 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked New York Mets | 52c | 1,295$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.31 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…672abacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,123$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.12 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,107$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.28 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Francisco Giants | 71c | 1,081$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.38 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,075$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.25 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed New York Mets | 31c | 1,071$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.1 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,070$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.92 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked New York Mets | 31c | 994.51$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.95 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed New York Mets | 21c | 952.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…286fbacked New York Mets | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 877.21$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.32 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 861.57$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked New York Mets | 58c | 848.61$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed New York Mets | 2c | 797.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 779.08$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.73 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Mets | 17c | 750.39$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 51c | 712.19$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed New York Mets | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked New York Mets | 14c | 652.07$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked New York Mets | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked New York Mets | 54c | 583.32$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.05 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked New York Mets | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 515$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.95 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed New York Mets | 40c | 482.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked New York Mets | 52c | 480.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed New York Mets | 40c | 479.39$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.52 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Mets | 53c | 426.61$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.1 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed New York Mets | 53c | 407.18$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.81 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 53c | 400$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Mets | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed New York Mets | 53c | 370.26$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.28 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed New York Mets | 53c | 359.57$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.57 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 344.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.85 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…3d46backed New York Mets | 62c | 342.02$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked New York Mets | 14c | 313.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New York Mets | 44c | 303.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets | 5c | 301.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked New York Mets | 16c | 297.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 295.24$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.53 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked New York Mets | 34c | 288.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…3c8ebacked New York Mets | 17c | 276.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked New York Mets | 42c | 271.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed New York Mets | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ca23backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 265.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Mets | 31c | 263.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…9640backed New York Mets | 53c | 252.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 244.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked New York Mets | 54c | 243.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked New York Mets | 53c | 241.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked New York Mets | 53c | 241.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked New York Mets | 53c | 241.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked New York Mets | 53c | 241.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked New York Mets | 21c | 238.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 231.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.09 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed New York Mets | 53c | 227$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked New York Mets | 21c | 226.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed New York Mets | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed New York Mets | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed New York Mets | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed New York Mets | 20c | 217.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 208.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.