TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55ab…8b6d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.36
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.35
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.55
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.93
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.04
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54.93
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$187.54
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$58.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$95.66
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+188.8%+$87.49
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$76.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$97.12
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$58.58
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$176.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$65.7
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Akron Zipsbacked Northern Illinois Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$64.78
San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$250.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$38.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$53.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$97.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.