Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b27f84ab9833cab87ce41092d6c753dd10f2c4ee1e5e5214cbba99036ed168e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNLV Runnin' Rebelsof San Jose State Spartans, UNLV Runnin' Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 21,143$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.09 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed San Jose State Spartans | 6c | 11,106$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.61 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 5,923$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.4 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Jose State Spartans | 11c | 5,862$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…8b6dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 6c | 3,908$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 79c | 3,797$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.34 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed San Jose State Spartans | 17c | 3,445$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.33 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed San Jose State Spartans | 8c | 3,154$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.37 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 2,472$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.29 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 2,191$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 18c | 2,039$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Jose State Spartans | 3c | 1,993$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 1,570$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 1,394$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.22 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 1,329$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.44 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a5…1bccbacked San Jose State Spartans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 983.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed San Jose State Spartans | 21c | 860$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…80afbacked San Jose State Spartans | 3c | 751.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 2c | 743.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed San Jose State Spartans | 25c | 700.75$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…809bbacked San Jose State Spartans | 6c | 691.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 663.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 625$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 606.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 599.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 579.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 499.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 444.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…7851backed San Jose State Spartans | 8c | 406.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…70afbacked San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 391.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 363.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525c…1f01backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 330.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…38cbbacked San Jose State Spartans | 18c | 319.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 312.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed San Jose State Spartans | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed San Jose State Spartans | 18c | 291$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed San Jose State Spartans | 9c | 283.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…da73backed San Jose State Spartans | 8c | 266.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 257.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 236.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 229.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 209.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 199.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed San Jose State Spartans | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…3b53backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 179.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 171$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 166.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 163.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked San Jose State Spartans | 19c | 161.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Jose State Spartans | 20c | 159.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…1df3backed San Jose State Spartans | 19c | 159.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 136.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe570…e821backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 134.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 9c | 130.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…9c72backed San Jose State Spartans | 8c | 129.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…fa80backed San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 114.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 107.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968c…76c3backed San Jose State Spartans | 17c | 100.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…5da5backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked San Jose State Spartans | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 77.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a7…1493backed San Jose State Spartans | 20c | 60.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsthis page
- San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 149.5Over won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-11.5)San Jose State Spartans won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-12.5)San Jose State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.