Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4daf2b87001e6967aa5989ce07964a81f312cd7f5388f4390768603448202c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Jose State Spartansof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, San Jose State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 52c | 74,693$38,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,840.48 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed San Jose State Spartans | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked San Jose State Spartans | 48c | 25,846$12,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,439.99 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.98 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 5,770$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.21 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked San Jose State Spartans | 48c | 5,110$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.23 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.99 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed San Jose State Spartans | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 2,178$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 1,994$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.59 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Jose State Spartans | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 54c | 770.33$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.28 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 617.02$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.02 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed San Jose State Spartans | 45c | 599.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.99 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 595.82$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 559.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.69 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 54c | 367$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed San Jose State Spartans | 46c | 229.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed San Jose State Spartans | 46c | 140.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed San Jose State Spartans | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 56c | 83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…9c72backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 48c | 62.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 50.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 35c | 37.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeef…c1a1backed San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 36.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 54c | 36.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…5349backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 54c | 34.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed San Jose State Spartans | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 31.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5feb…c439backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 54c | 31.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…9f88backed San Jose State Spartans | 47c | 29.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Jose State Spartans | 64c | 29.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 54c | 22.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 53c | 19.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-11.5)this page
- San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' RebelsUNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 149.5Over won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-12.5)San Jose State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.