Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcbc0082eba8cee5a03d15bd1a972696e6122a1362497540b8a012befe7d8f1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 11,495$5,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,983.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Under | 52c | 10,408$5,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,390 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Under | 53c | 2,900$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 504$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Over | 45c | 382$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 372$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 44c | 363.88$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.77 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Under | 56c | 357.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…a251backed Over | 45c | 150.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Under | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Under | 55c | 37.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Under | 55c | 37.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Under | 55c | 36.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 151.5this page
- San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' RebelsUNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-11.5)San Jose State Spartans won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-12.5)San Jose State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.