NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x357f2a03ad261a94dc86c40f7b7a37b0a35fdaf3f3447896fe943e38741a4369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Bulls, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,026,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $925,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,026,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Bulls | 15c | 133,333$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Bulls | 14c | 55,804$7,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,812.57 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Bulls | 15c | 53,467$8,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020.07 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Bulls | 14c | 50,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.96 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 15c | 46,182$6,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,879.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Bulls | 15c | 30,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 14c | 29,685$4,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.41 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Bulls | 14c | 28,804$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,072.57 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bulls | 15c | 25,010$3,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.5 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Bulls | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bulls | 1c | 23,743$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.28 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bulls | 0c | 22,155$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Bulls | 15c | 13,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Bulls | 14c | 12,984$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.69 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Bulls | 1c | 11,779$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Bulls | 14c | 11,700$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bulls | 14c | 10,854$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.5 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 16c | 10,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Bulls | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Bulls | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Bulls | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Bulls | 15c | 10,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.95 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Bulls | 15c | 9,847$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.61 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Bulls | 16c | 9,375$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bulls | 14c | 8,393$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.02 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 14c | 5,756$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.47 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Bulls | 14c | 5,501$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Bulls | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Bulls | 1c | 4,874$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 0c | 4,790$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…b1d0backed Bulls | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…d637backed Celtics | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Bulls | 15c | 3,258$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.65 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Bulls | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Bulls | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Bulls | 2c | 2,824$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls | 2c | 2,650$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Bulls | 11c | 2,614$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.59 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Bulls | 16c | 2,604$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…b77ebacked Bulls | 15c | 2,437$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Celtics | 79c | 2,223$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.93 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Bulls | 14c | 2,102$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.31 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bulls | 16c | 2,010$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Bulls | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bulls | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bulls | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Bulls | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Bulls | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3934…8352backed Bulls | 16c | 1,849$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.55 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…8b6dbacked Bulls | 1c | 1,729$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bulls | 1c | 1,671$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Bulls | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Bulls | 13c | 1,518$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.29 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…2890backed Bulls | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4730…cfd4backed Celtics | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 11c | 1,459$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…8e6cbacked Bulls | 16c | 1,454$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 15c | 1,383$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Bulls | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…cf38backed Bulls | 20c | 1,305$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.92 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Bulls | 15c | 1,267$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 14c | 1,170$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Bulls | 14c | 1,145$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Bulls | 14c | 1,133$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.79 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…4ea7backed Bulls | 15c | 1,132$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Bulls | 15c | 1,130$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.48 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Bulls | 14c | 1,121$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.93 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls | 11c | 1,100$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Bulls | 15c | 1,066$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Bulls | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Bulls | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7755…25ccbacked Bulls | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Bulls | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Bulls | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Bulls | 17c | 949.76$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.33 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7189backed Bulls | 2c | 922.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Bulls | 15c | 892$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bulls | 2c | 880$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Bulls | 17c | 866.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.88 | 731 | 31.1%227 W · 504 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Bulls | 15c | 836.4$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Bulls | 15c | 805.71$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…3e81backed Bulls | 6c | 771.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…5ff6backed Bulls | 1c | 756.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bulls | 18c | 743$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Bulls | 13c | 714.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Bulls | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Bulls | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 23.7%42 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Bulls | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Bulls | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Bulls | 15c | 666.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…a1f2backed Bulls | 18c | 650$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59e…22b6backed Bulls | 16c | 630$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb748…5b21backed Bulls | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…d395backed Bulls | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Bulls | 9c | 558.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Bulls | 14c | 542.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…4b0ebacked Bulls | 6c | 539.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…69adbacked Bulls | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 15c | 512.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Celticsthis page
- Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.