NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10baada74bfe528dc2c40f30a9622747ee60d9e8de4fb564118911e5c23eb2ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 85,188$45,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,090.33 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 40,659$19,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,110.31 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 38,849$18,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,097.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 54c | 17,712$9,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,065.31 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 8,581$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.12 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 52c | 5,825$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.3 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 5,737$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Under | 48c | 2,790$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.19 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 49c | 2,686$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.7 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 65c | 2,489$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.67 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…e2f4backed Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,590$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 1,139$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.15 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 48c | 1,113$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 888.89$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under | 47c | 787.23$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 47c | 786$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.42 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 49c | 729.34$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.38 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 57c | 668.64$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.73 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 47c | 667.98$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.95 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Under | 48c | 525$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…4138backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 36c | 411.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Over | 54c | 379.05$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.45 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Over | 57c | 368.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 51c | 303$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 299.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 56c | 292.07$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 244$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 43c | 241$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 233.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 224.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Over | 56c | 203.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…4183backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 44c | 178.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.49per pick | 41cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 67c | 164.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 43c | 157.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 149$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 53c | 146.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under | 47c | 144.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 101.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 47c | 90.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…3ab9backed Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 49c | 84.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 79.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Under | 36c | 75.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 45c | 75.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 48.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 45.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 49c | 40.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 47c | 40.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…a7f0backed Over | 52c | 37.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…4e52backed Over | 53c | 37.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8394…20a3backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Over | 67c | 33.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 27.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…b331backed Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 45c | 26.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 48c | 25.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 22.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…6700backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5this page
- Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Bulls vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.