TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c85,188$45,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,090.3387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c40,659$19,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,110.312,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c38,849$18,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,097.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Over54c17,712$9,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,065.317266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c8,581$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,907.123,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over52c5,825$3,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,780.345850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c5,737$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.494,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over52c3,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Under48c2,790$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.1915450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under49c2,686$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.719445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over65c2,489$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.6742648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96010446.2%48 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over57c1,800$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77412844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.394932.7%16 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under47c1,595$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c1,590$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c1,139$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.153,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under48c1,113$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53410048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Over56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4404454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c888.89$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under47c787.23$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37017454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under47c786$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.4258951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under49c729.34$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.381,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over57c668.64$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.733,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under47c667.98$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.9554747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Under48c525$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527356.2%41 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c7…4138backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under36c411.11$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14814636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…e8b4backed Over54c379.05$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.452759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Over57c368.42$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.428263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under51c303$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5354351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under47c299.98$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over56c292.07$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5113464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c244$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.385,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under43c241$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.631,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c233.72$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.852,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c224.89$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.164844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Over56c203.57$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.577247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5622170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5652052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e95…4183backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under44c178.57$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5763447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4429554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa70…5501backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441090%9 W · 1 L+4.9wins+0.49per pick41cpaid+193.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over67c164.46$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.883,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.411650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Under43c157.42$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6913750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c149$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.032,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over53c146.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.721,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under47c144.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0314742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Over56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1417046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under48c101.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3453453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under47c90.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4324138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6dd…3ab9backed Over53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.912763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under49c84.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0862844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c79.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Under36c75.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.984637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under45c75.05$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0118957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under47c59.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1959141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0161253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c48.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.152,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c45.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.11,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under49c40.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9192750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under47c40.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0955846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1862450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1820149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc592…a7f0backed Over52c37.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.22966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f61…4e52backed Over53c37.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.912147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0440960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7122646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8394…20a3backed Under44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe2b8…8712backed Over67c33.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.952572%18 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5153945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.919352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c27.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.152,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b0…b331backed Under49c26.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under45c26.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under48c25.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2945460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over59c22.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6428856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc520…6700backed Over56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.