NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a4558751f260314459fc8702425f6ecefe4368ce09697ae618bc2d288f00c1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,042,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,086,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,042,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 291,980$148,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,302.36 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 170,991$82,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,342.19 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 53c | 106,070$55,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,313.5 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 92,269$48,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,366.66 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 52c | 61,059$31,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,217.8 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 50c | 51,155$25,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,687.64 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 19,570$9,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,505.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 52c | 19,412$10,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,369.68 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 18,704$8,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,976.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 53c | 17,162$9,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,066.26 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 53c | 10,074$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,782.69 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 7,750$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…cc71backed Over | 49c | 6,538$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.99 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 47c | 4,951$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.96 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 48c | 4,048$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 54c | 3,722$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.22 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 3,387$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 3,032$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 46c | 2,666$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…b195backed Under | 51c | 2,575$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 2,574$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Under | 50c | 2,220$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…cc3abacked Under | 51c | 2,101$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 2,041$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 50c | 1,993$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.49 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…339abacked Under | 51c | 1,862$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…b945backed Under | 47c | 1,583$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 53c | 1,478$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.01 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 44c | 1,351$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.45 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,342$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 1,211$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.95 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 50c | 1,153$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.3 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 37c | 1,015$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.18 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 840.37$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.38 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 814.76$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.38 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 778.96$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.36 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 711.03$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.52 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…e428backed Under | 48c | 515.63$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Under | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 43c | 444.49$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 435.79$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 50c | 423.58$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.93 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Over | 50c | 407.86$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.85 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 398.96$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.98 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 53c | 376$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.72 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…45ecbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Under | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…a573backed Over | 51c | 309.49$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 48c | 282$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…9040backed Over | 50c | 269.96$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed Over | 51c | 254.27$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 47c | 199.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…4e52backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 52c | 175.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 47c | 171.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 49c | 171.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 52c | 171.28$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 48c | 168.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…faf9backed Over | 51c | 165.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 49c | 162.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 48c | 149.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…7a67backed Under | 51c | 136.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 125.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…66f3backed Over | 51c | 123.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Under | 48c | 119.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 50c | 117.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…e4a3backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5this page
- Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Bulls vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.