TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,764 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Under52c43,449$22,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,593.633847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Over48c30,347$14,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,7737266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Under53c26,560$14,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,076.747848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c23,582$11,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,347.971,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c17,725$8,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,366.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over47c10,594$5,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,565.082,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.9966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under53c7,185$3,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,775.4487750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under51c6,317$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.922,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb71…19cfbacked Over48c5,888$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c5,245$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.944,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b0…339abacked Over45c5,215$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under54c4,574$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked Over48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Over48c4,042$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.665152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3584…e59dbacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0804100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over48c3,987$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.3237747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c2,811$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.773,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over48c2,570$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.1134654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over48c2,560$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.429952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf692…b195backed Under55c2,528$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.440%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b2…cc3abacked Under55c2,438$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over34c1,656$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.543,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c1,487$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.514,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c1,378$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.562,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under54c1,306$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c1,215$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63632150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Under53c960.38$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50918650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Under53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under52c938$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.7647354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under52c937$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.2495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c607.65$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.073,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over47c500.38$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.228147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Under53c469.3$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7323256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under52c469.3$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under53c434.88$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3624138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Over47c434.04$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.045558.2%32 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Over47c271.33$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8120352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…cc71backed Under55c249$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under53c241.51$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c236.57$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.583,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3323850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11241052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under51c199.31$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.656040%24 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c198.82$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.371,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over47c192.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9263447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc1…36bbbacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe53c…ce61backed Over50c186$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa952…14a5backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x07fe…8f90backed Under54c181.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under51c173.61$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over47c158.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.461,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.752,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over61c136.06$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.053,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under52c114.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5164844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.383644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over49c104.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.254351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.179758.8%57 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under49c101.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5642551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5641354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5349351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Under39c85.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.834637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under55c72.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0518957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.145251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over47c64.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1520149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5304…61cfbacked Over47c55.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.411770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+46.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Over46c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.166058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Over47c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5616852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca3…ac80backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under52c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.481,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.972,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Over48c46.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.353839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under54c46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6941048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c42.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.854,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over48c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.171,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under53c39.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1976250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Over47c38.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5210046%46 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Over47c38.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.529745.4%44 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2df…82a8backed Under56c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec2…c5f1backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206053.3%32 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over48c33.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3335049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfc…173ebacked Under77c32.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.152272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over50c32.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0757657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under39c28.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2224330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6677…575cbacked Under51c27.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Over47c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3411444.7%51 W · 63 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over47c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5350948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over47c21.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4133653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.