NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee09e5bc75b6c24c22cd94757740dec742f3a404d369a54eaafdfc0edcef8f1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $791,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $840,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 48c | 217,223$104,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,976.69 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 52c | 200,000$104,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 151,226$74,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,681.4 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 51c | 80,935$41,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,625.59 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 50c | 80,245$40,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,910.01 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Under | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.75 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 50c | 44,493$22,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,246.5 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Under | 50c | 42,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 50c | 41,495$20,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,747.48 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 50c | 34,467$17,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,233.64 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 20,344$9,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,375.23 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 50c | 20,218$10,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,191.17 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 18,675$9,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,477.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 50c | 14,925$7,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,462.69 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 11,788$5,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,918.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 51c | 11,500$5,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,635 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 51c | 10,196$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.97 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 50c | 9,600$4,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 7,143$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 5,827$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.49 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 50c | 4,996$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.24 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…b901backed Over | 50c | 4,480$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 53c | 3,757$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 3c | 2,936$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 2,891$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 2,680$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.8 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 2,482$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.11 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 2,144$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.65 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 2,084$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 1,768$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.93 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 51c | 1,708$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.29 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,668$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.89 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 52c | 1,650$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.42 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 1,572$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…bd2abacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 50c | 1,446$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 1,390$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.2 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 46c | 1,389$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.79 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 44c | 1,158$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.89 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.71 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 46c | 999.89$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.09 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Under | 52c | 997.25$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.86 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 54c | 870$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.55 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 839.41$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 51c | 825.21$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.07 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 63c | 813.24$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.01 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…0a0dbacked Under | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 48c | 680.83$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.8 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 674.3$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.74 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 63c | 648.27$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.67 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 401.96$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…a532backed Over | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 385.53$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba1…431bbacked Under | 54c | 361.3$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 33c | 356.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…7be3backed Under | 55c | 355.24$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…175bbacked Under | 54c | 352.95$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…abb1backed Over | 47c | 352.7$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…717dbacked Over | 47c | 350.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 51c | 341.86$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.83 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…59b6backed Over | 47c | 338.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 49c | 322.19$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 51c | 288.55$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 50c | 269.7$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 52c | 249.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 44c | 209.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 49c | 199.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Over | 50c | 198.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 191.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 53c | 185.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Under | 52c | 180.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 46c | 166.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 50c | 160.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 51c | 153$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 151.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 43c | 151.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5this page
- Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Bulls vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.