NBA · resolved market
Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba9cdd5ba79c13bf3b083f4cf28be9e1f22c79e83f47af42ac6b5af19fa5dd05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 2,175$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 63c | 1,452$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.39 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed Yes | 37c | 1,346$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.48 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bc94backed Yes | 36c | 740$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.12 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed No | 64c | 558$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.88 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked Yes | 38c | 260.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed No | 63c | 203.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 456 | 57%260 W · 196 L | +44.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed No | 64c | 121.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…81dbbacked Yes | 37c | 68.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 35c | 50.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 216 | 72.2%156 W · 60 L | +28.6wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 63c | 49.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…da3abacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 8.5this page
- Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Bulls vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.