NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72a5f819279e11934d4ded9ff98cfdb738b33601e35a6128fed3ceb9c6ed7e1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43e2…232bbacked Bulls | 52c | 20,926$10,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,876.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…029fbacked Celtics | 48c | 20,887$10,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,849.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Celtics | 49c | 12,443$6,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,295.8 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 50c | 9,685$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 49c | 9,433$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,813.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…0ae5backed Bulls | 51c | 5,743$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls | 52c | 5,447$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.59 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Celtics | 50c | 5,007$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.01 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Bulls | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Bulls | 51c | 4,814$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.95 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…9fe9backed Celtics | 51c | 3,200$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…808ebacked Bulls | 49c | 3,200$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Bulls | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Bulls | 51c | 2,995$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.45 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bulls | 50c | 2,788$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.99 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bulls | 52c | 2,461$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.11 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 50c | 2,214$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics | 52c | 1,870$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.82 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Celtics | 52c | 1,743$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.27 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Celtics | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Bulls | 50c | 1,587$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,430$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics | 53c | 1,277$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.36 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 67c | 1,165$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.44 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls | 48c | 1,019$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.25 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Celtics | 49c | 999.94$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Bulls | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Bulls | 35c | 910.75$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.12 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 50c | 891.46$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 50c | 797.49$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.75 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Celtics | 50c | 660$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Bulls | 46c | 551.14$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.37 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 47c | 511.21$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.44 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…4138backed Celtics | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls | 41c | 434.04$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Celtics | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Celtics | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…478ebacked Bulls | 51c | 388.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Bulls | 51c | 379.04$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.31 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 44c | 377.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bulls | 4c | 356.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Bulls | 48c | 354.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…38f5backed Bulls | 49c | 327.45$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Bulls | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 45c | 261$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bulls | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Bulls | 48c | 237.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…8d41backed Celtics | 51c | 203.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…3ff6backed Bulls | 50c | 203.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Celtics | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Bulls | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Celtics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Bulls | 52c | 192.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Bulls | 60c | 183.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 49c | 173.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Bulls | 50c | 164.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Bulls | 52c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 49c | 147.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Bulls | 50c | 144.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bulls | 23c | 136.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Bulls | 25c | 119$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Celtics | 50c | 108.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Celtics | 59c | 107.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls | 53c | 103.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Celtics | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Celtics | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Celtics | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Bulls | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Bulls | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Bulls | 51c | 92.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bulls | 51c | 74.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Celtics | 47c | 66.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bulls | 36c | 62.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Bulls | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…317fbacked Bulls | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Bulls | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Bulls | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…0b62backed Bulls | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Bulls | 50c | 57.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Celtics | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…51abbacked Bulls | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Celtics | 45c | 49.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Celtics | 48c | 48.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Celtics | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Celtics | 43c | 46.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Bulls | 51c | 42.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…d05abacked Celtics | 50c | 41.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a3…7ec1backed Bulls | 51c | 40.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Bulls | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…a4cdbacked Bulls | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…a2a2backed Bulls | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Bulls | 50c | 39.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Celtics | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Celtics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)this page
- Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Bulls vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.