MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78f2d0f194a21db9f7326daaa94714255877cc0972624385144c3733b074d79c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Minnesota Twins, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x387b…fd56backed Minnesota Twins | 0c | 31,329$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5ac9backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 19,707$9,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,695.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 13,041$8,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.94 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 12,353$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.4 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 11,216$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.77 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Minnesota Twins | 1c | 9,604$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 7,871$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.74 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 7,463$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.97 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…8b6dbacked Minnesota Twins | 0c | 6,927$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 6,670$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.17 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 5,905$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.76 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 5,863$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.64 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 5,601$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.5 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 5,406$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 4,312$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.31 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 4,066$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.3 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.2 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…d41cbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 3,556$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.66 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 3,215$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.74 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 2,709$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.85 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…6762backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,241$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 2,158$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.7 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 2,100$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.42 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 2,066$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.23 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.99 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,950$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.79 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,456$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.51 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Twins | 29c | 1,417$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.7 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 1,211$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.36 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 1,175$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,017$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.59 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 999.99$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 974.25$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.38 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 74c | 962.03$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 886$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.58 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 22c | 875.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 862.28$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.46 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 819.23$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.04 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 727.95$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.25 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 685.24$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.47 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 675.12$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.56 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 616.91$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.61 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 597.34$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.94 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 587.47$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.56 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 550.02$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 15c | 535.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 532.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Minnesota Twins | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 483.36$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…ca73backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 475.59$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 449.08$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 444.8$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 440.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 434.64$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 432.62$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.31 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 405.29$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 405.08$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 8c | 400.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 399.23$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.06 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 74c | 385.98$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 380.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.19 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 379.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.87 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 373.33$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.13 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 365.46$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 344.14$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.51 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 338.2$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 316.81$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.17 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 304$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 303.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c5…c9c5backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 302.97$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…0a04backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 301.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 297.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…a556backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 290.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 288.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.54 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…ad5ebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 284.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…627cbacked Minnesota Twins | 7c | 283.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 273.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 268.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…a69bbacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 257.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Minnesota Twins | 23c | 256.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 253.39$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 253.01$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 249.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…86c8backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 242.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 242.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Minnesota Twins | 24c | 242.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 241.68$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 234.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 219.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 18.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-6.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.