MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25346a693445b111b9219db9b51bba06b778003bd0ff73139e2245bd222a5ffe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 43c | 22,367$9,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,645.73 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Under | 57c | 13,814$7,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,874.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 56c | 9,492$5,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,315.65 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 44c | 7,057$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.12 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 40c | 6,474$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.96 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 5,874$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.47 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 57c | 5,130$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.59 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 57c | 5,122$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.4 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 4,527$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 53c | 4,357$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.9 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 3,833$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.54 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 2,535$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.83 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 43c | 1,755$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.35 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 57c | 1,742$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.05 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 43c | 1,680$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.43 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Under | 65c | 1,569$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.79 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 53c | 1,540$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 39c | 1,498$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Under | 60c | 1,180$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.4 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 43c | 1,105$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.17 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Over | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 44c | 1,095$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.4 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…8e5cbacked Over | 45c | 703.01$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…9b66backed Under | 60c | 683.2$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 616.36$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under | 55c | 585$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 506.48$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.69 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 506.48$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.69 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 56c | 495.37$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.22 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 56c | 494.54$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.48 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 57c | 487.1$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.65 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Under | 56c | 459.16$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…1859backed Over | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Over | 50c | 414.68$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.34 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Over | 44c | 361.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 45c | 265.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 43c | 234.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.94 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 56c | 225.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 41c | 221.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 53c | 201.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 56c | 197.33$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b9…fe6abacked Under | 56c | 187.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 55c | 175.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccc…62ebbacked Under | 56c | 168.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 163.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…7ef9backed Over | 45c | 161.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 53c | 156.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 56c | 154.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 43c | 139.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 51c | 111.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…4bb2backed Under | 56c | 99.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…f13abacked Under | 56c | 99.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 87.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 46c | 77.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…1f6ebacked Under | 77c | 76.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Over | 45c | 76.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 70.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Over | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 50c | 57.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 43c | 53.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…bf9fbacked Under | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…8279backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…3811backed Under | 56c | 48.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…86c8backed Over | 34c | 48.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 53c | 44.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 46c | 42.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…fc31backed Under | 53c | 42.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…c4b2backed Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed Under | 66c | 41.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Under | 53c | 40.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Under | 56c | 38.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 45c | 38.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Under | 53c | 35.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d61…418dbacked Under | 56c | 34.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 56c | 32.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853f…d2a8backed Under | 56c | 31.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…32f8backed Under | 53c | 30.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 53c | 29.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 45c | 29.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…8cdebacked Under | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…df70backed Over | 44c | 25.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 25.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 51c | 25.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked Under | 56c | 22.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under | 56c | 22.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 18.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-6.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.