TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$526,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$624,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf195…8057backed Jets46c138,690$63,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,892.725352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Devils54c79,799$43,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,091.3115953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Devils54c72,775$39,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,298.2547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jets46c46,107$21,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,994.8956152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Jets46c44,000$20,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,76048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Devils54c44,000$23,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,7601464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Devils54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Devils54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.983056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Jets46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Jets46c9,991$4,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,395.2162249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed Devils54c9,796$5,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,289.841668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Devils3c9,026$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Devils13c7,088$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.511,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Devils54c7,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,78089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils53c6,939$3,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,677.891,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jets46c6,674$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.9222747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Jets46c6,522$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.748848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets46c6,500$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5101,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Devils54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Devils20c4,520$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.862,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Jets46c4,286$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.3410056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jets76c4,054$3,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.681,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Devils54c3,333$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.7875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Jets46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.8731550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Jets46c3,217$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.394045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Devils0c3,122$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.327450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jets46c2,735$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.931,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Jets46c2,625$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.433647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Devils2c2,431$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.232504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Devils54c2,400$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29660249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f62…4e06backed Devils54c2,070$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae5…40e1backed Jets46c2,060$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Devils53c1,976$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.422,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Devils54c1,869$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.3518258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Devils17c1,857$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0139344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Devils54c1,844$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99629551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf890…f172backed Devils55c1,823$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c0…22e8backed Jets46c1,823$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Devils54c1,800$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97240049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Devils54c1,800$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97243548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Devils54c1,672$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.6791653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jets45c1,650$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.451,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Devils9c1,638$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4526849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Devils54c1,617$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87333243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf05…f8e1backed Devils55c1,600$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8802356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Devils22c1,449$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.6638738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Jets47c1,335$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.042161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Devils54c1,274$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.821,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Devils2c1,200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Jets46c1,186$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.7514753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Jets46c1,138$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.7235245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Devils54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59445749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fb…f0d5backed Devils18c1,098$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Devils54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07e…b88ebacked Devils55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Devils1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Devils54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5409353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb1…982dbacked Jets45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Devils53c999.94$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9710848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Devils27c973.07$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4310848.1%52 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Jets49c941.72$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.731,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Devils54c925$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29cf…7f5dbacked Devils23c890.06$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7814356.6%81 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Devils16c883.23$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1899638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Jets78c805.82$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jets46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43238046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jets76c794.31$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…8b6dbacked Devils10c762.42$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jets46c755$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.784953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Devils55c750$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd79…989ebacked Jets46c717.39$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.391957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Devils13c713.05$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0215238.8%59 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Jets46c712$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.4825045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0d8…480bbacked Devils54c692.65$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.039854.1%53 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8751…6de8backed Devils54c670$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Devils5c669.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.713647.1%64 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Jets45c667.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.0839752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Devils6c658.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5410429.8%31 W · 73 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Devils55c640.09$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35030657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f3a…ec7dbacked Jets47c640$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Jets47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.331848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6087…da74backed Jets47c630$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Jets74c609.67$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6952172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb28b…6cb7backed Devils54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3241250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Jets47c558.28$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Devils20c548$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.452,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Jets46c546.27$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9927453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Devils55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Jets47c537.32$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Jets74c536.75$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.851050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Devils54c527.73$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.971,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Devils49c524.21$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.641,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Devils54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Devils53c499.96$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Jets56c499.89$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.793354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Devils10c487.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.152,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb944…250fbacked Jets47c470.79$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.88742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29ae…4d2cbacked Devils55c456.35$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.517354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Devils54c451.5$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.811,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4e…ebb7backed Jets46c446.59$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.