NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Devils: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6effe9dfc89ab85ba3ea9152550b93303efe9d5bd90ef2c73fa4434646f448
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 65c | 6,000$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.03 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 35c | 1,819$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.3 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Over | 35c | 1,752$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 44cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 38c | 1,647$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.56 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Under | 63c | 1,242$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 35c | 997.25$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.23 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Under | 65c | 517.71$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.51 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 36c | 468.75$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 61c | 444$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.84 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 8c | 280$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 40c | 248.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.3 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 66c | 194.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Over | 37c | 122$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 37c | 110$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 34c | 97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 62c | 95.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 38c | 87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Under | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 61c | 79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Over | 37c | 73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 38c | 71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 59c | 68.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 40c | 66.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…e00fbacked Over | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 63c | 62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 37c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Under | 62c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 37c | 40.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 63c | 39.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 35c | 35.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 51c | 33.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Under | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Under | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Under | 63c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Under | 63c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Under | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Under | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Under | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Under | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Under | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Under | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Under | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Devils: O/U 6.5this page
- Jets vs. DevilsJets won
- Jets vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.