TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Devils: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$601,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$602,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under52c356,848$185,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185,546.820354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over48c200,000$96,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,00022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over48c62,783$30,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,579.4926849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over48c47,431$22,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,664.3338748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Under52c47,215$24,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,739.432458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over49c31,538$15,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,084.3738844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee6…81cebacked Under47c19,000$8,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,930771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1be6…67a7backed Over53c19,000$10,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,930850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c17,021$8,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,680.6439047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c16,094$7,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,449.712,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Over50c16,004$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0043243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Over49c10,855$5,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,536.113554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over49c10,396$5,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,302.233243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over48c9,999$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.4813363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under51c7,305$3,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.551,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c6,600$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,453.142,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…0025backed Under47c6,290$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over49c6,092$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.1717057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c5,636$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.251,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c4,405$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.6956152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over49c3,853$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.068848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under52c3,800$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97625552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Over48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over48c2,992$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.7632650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4821…cbbdbacked Under47c2,585$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddde…70a4backed Under47c2,545$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb56e…68fbbacked Under47c2,537$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61a1…8765backed Under47c2,535$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c2,500$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.9958352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ff…517fbacked Over53c2,290$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0d…4035backed Over53c2,200$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Over49c2,091$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.2264242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3896…13a0backed Over53c2,056$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c9…3dc7backed Over53c2,045$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6f7fbacked Over53c2,044$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0647…27b6backed Over53c2,035$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29ae…d083backed Over53c2,022$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0208650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over49c1,869$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.191,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b68…d467backed Over53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over49c1,633$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.659846.9%46 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c1,524$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.2479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Over49c1,465$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.153458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked Over50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over51c1,300$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.9891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c1,296$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.8893953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c1,276$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.511,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over49c1,255$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.859157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over48c1,018$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.263641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c1,001$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5161953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c999.97$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9835349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over49c880.16$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.6421856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under49c786.27$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.2715953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c684.39$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.2191653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over49c663.27$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.271,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c635.01$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over48c599.97$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9962346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c564.82$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.023,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c538.69$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.8760741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over48c526$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.5284953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26053337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23411855.9%66 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Over49c449.72$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.366960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under50c444$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22249546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21076450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under51c408.16$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.169150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under52c359$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6886852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over49c344.39$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.647254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde71…01d9backed Over49c340$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over49c302.77$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.432962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c295$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over49c290.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0113954%75 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.523751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under48c246.1$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1327547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0813845.7%63 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Over49c203.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.565560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9659950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210438.5%40 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Over50c196.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.411656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over46c189.66$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4122443.3%97 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over49c167$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1712548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c151$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.511,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Over49c117$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.674557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c116.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5878651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under52c107.73$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0214753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under52c104.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7316447.6%78 W · 86 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd349…63f8backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under20c99.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.181,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over51c94.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1815349%75 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Over48c92.19$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.686162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over49c83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3310858.3%63 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Over49c80.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.015257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4378443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Under52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403860.5%23 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.