NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Cavaliers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4cb71b16fa7b569467447b9632e618effa64193c0ee80504589991c6c5250e

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Wizards, Cavaliers
Resolved: Feb 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,378,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,461,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,378,803 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Wizards	10c	250,000$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards	11c	191,089$21,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,999.99	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards	10c	104,883$10,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,329.97	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards	10c	93,460$9,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,453.09	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	9c	80,396$7,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,235.66	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	3c	70,152$2,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,253.91	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards	9c	65,818$6,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,068.93	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards	10c	57,975$5,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,603.02	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb1…d881backed Wizards	1c	48,079$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	8c	31,499$2,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,554.94	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Wizards	11c	30,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards	11c	29,767$3,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,280.21	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Wizards	2c	28,973$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.25	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards	4c	26,391$1,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.31	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Wizards	9c	25,329$2,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,251.34	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Wizards	9c	25,100$2,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,259	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Wizards	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Wizards	8c	19,626$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590.03	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Wizards	11c	15,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards	4c	14,736$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.89	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Wizards	9c	13,300$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,196.97	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wizards	10c	12,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.98	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards	1c	10,622$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.45	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Wizards	10c	10,404$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.43	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards	5c	10,340$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.11	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	10c	10,250$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Wizards	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Wizards	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.72	91	17.6%16 W · 75 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Wizards	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Wizards	10c	8,905$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.5	195	60%117 W · 78 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards	4c	8,564$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.63	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Wizards	10c	8,100$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Wizards	0c	8,092$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.45	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards	9c	8,089$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.31	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wizards	10c	8,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	11c	7,771$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.37	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Wizards	11c	7,390$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.09	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Wizards	9c	7,222$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards	1c	6,413$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.31	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Wizards	11c	6,397$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.73	125	24.8%31 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards	2c	6,219$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.03	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards	3c	5,563$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.49	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd97…776cbacked Wizards	11c	5,461$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Wizards	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Wizards	10c	5,000$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.96	233	48.1%112 W · 121 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Wizards	9c	4,177$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.19	79	40.5%32 W · 47 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Wizards	2c	4,000$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.42	306	19.9%61 W · 245 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Wizards	10c	4,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Wizards	12c	3,996$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.52	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21f…9372backed Wizards	3c	3,886$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab44…d88ebacked Wizards	8c	3,850$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.26	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Wizards	8c	3,815$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321	336	32.4%109 W · 227 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Wizards	10c	3,750$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	209	45.5%95 W · 114 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	3,650$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards	4c	3,545$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.49	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards	10c	3,500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Wizards	11c	3,396$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.54	117	13.7%16 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Wizards	9c	3,204$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.4	107	40.2%43 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards	1c	3,128$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.88	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Wizards	10c	3,070$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.46	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaff…f689backed Wizards	10c	2,933$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.31	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Wizards	7c	2,906$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	241	39%94 W · 147 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0925…077abacked Wizards	9c	2,900$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.99	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Wizards	7c	2,551$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.66	172	33.7%58 W · 114 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Wizards	11c	2,529$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.93	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07c8…e891backed Wizards	8c	2,460$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.26	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Wizards	9c	2,335$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	354	38.1%135 W · 219 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Wizards	8c	2,235$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.12	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards	10c	2,147$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.28	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wizards	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Wizards	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x808c…b77ebacked Wizards	12c	1,890$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.77	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards	3c	1,843$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.87	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Wizards	11c	1,818$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards	11c	1,818$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Wizards	4c	1,746$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.87	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Wizards	4c	1,670$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.21	307	43%132 W · 175 L	-19.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-19%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Wizards	12c	1,667$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	604	44.2%267 W · 337 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Wizards	12c	1,507$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.84	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe34…e166backed Wizards	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	521	37.2%194 W · 327 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Wizards	12c	1,369$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.24	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b4…e428backed Wizards	11c	1,314$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.54	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Wizards	10c	1,300$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	125	40.8%51 W · 74 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…8b6dbacked Wizards	3c	1,243$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9904…a28dbacked Wizards	11c	1,210$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.13	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc82e…382ebacked Wizards	3c	1,200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards	4c	1,125$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa32c…5608backed Wizards	10c	1,100$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe25…df0abacked Wizards	5c	1,098$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	71	28.2%20 W · 51 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Wizards	10c	1,081$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b6c…0b29backed Wizards	4c	1,050$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.55	174	30.5%53 W · 121 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa022…22f1backed Wizards	3c	1,034$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	136	39%53 W · 83 L	+9.1wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards	3c	1,005$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.13	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Wizards	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Wizards	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	296	35.8%106 W · 190 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Wizards	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	177	23.7%42 W · 135 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Wizards	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb5…f7cebacked Wizards	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Wizards	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Cavaliersthis page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 16.5No won
Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Bub Carrington: Points O/U 10.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Cavaliers won
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 15.5No won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Cavaliers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event