NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa01e08ba7838a1efbd0910f8efddb7bba4b060a09cdf4c9d1b7ab5d7daa8791f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c44…752ebacked Wizards | 0c | 10,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 47c | 8,612$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Cavaliers | 51c | 7,529$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Cavaliers | 47c | 3,712$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.6 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 56c | 3,334$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Cavaliers | 42c | 3,148$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.84 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 56c | 2,016$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 1,895$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,628$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.96 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Wizards | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 846.72$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.34 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 58c | 796$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 62c | 795.17$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Cavaliers | 51c | 489$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 474.14$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.14 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Wizards | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb3…380ebacked Cavaliers | 42c | 439$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 437.1$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.41 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…e14cbacked Wizards | 54c | 355.27$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…912ebacked Wizards | 54c | 354.68$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8e…fc20backed Wizards | 53c | 352.73$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…35a7backed Wizards | 53c | 352.41$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 52c | 350.17$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.09 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…15c1backed Wizards | 53c | 349.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…62f0backed Cavaliers | 47c | 349.24$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…542ebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 347.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…3644backed Cavaliers | 47c | 343.72$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x763e…34b7backed Cavaliers | 47c | 343.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e25…d9bbbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 339.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Wizards | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 52c | 294.9$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Wizards | 46c | 285.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 324 | 55.9%181 W · 143 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 56c | 278.3$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 49c | 247.79$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 56c | 224.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Cavaliers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Wizards | 52c | 199.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Wizards | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Wizards | 58c | 155.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Wizards | 43c | 138.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 49c | 133.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Wizards | 53c | 133$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 110.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Cavaliers | 42c | 104.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…1535backed Wizards | 52c | 102.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Wizards | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Wizards | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Wizards | 52c | 84.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 79.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Wizards | 34c | 75.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Wizards | 35c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…e50cbacked Wizards | 58c | 74.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 72.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…7e4fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 68.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd917…3db6backed Wizards | 54c | 63.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Wizards | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Wizards | 59c | 57.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Wizards | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Wizards | 55c | 54.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…82a8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Wizards | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Cavaliers | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Cavaliers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Wizards | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Wizards | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Wizards | 66c | 44.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Wizards | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd7…e9f5backed Cavaliers | 48c | 41.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Wizards | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 48c | 36.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cavaliers | 45c | 35.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Wizards | 57c | 35.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Cavaliers | 49c | 35.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Cavaliers | 41c | 31.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Wizards | 52c | 29.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Wizards | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 28.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Wizards | 59c | 27.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…9e0bbacked Wizards | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Cavaliers | 48c | 26.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Cavaliers | 48c | 26.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Wizards | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Wizards | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Wizards | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…0cd1backed Wizards | 54c | 21.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Wizards | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…be21backed Wizards | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Wizards vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.