TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$470,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$473,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c364,668$185,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179,017.8287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c200,000$98,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under49c120,000$58,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,8001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over51c26,623$13,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,045.2529351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over50c23,135$11,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,578.426753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c13,917$6,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,917.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under52c9,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,68018747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c8,041$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c6,000$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,98087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d3…a1f8backed Under51c5,994$3,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,056.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c5,805$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.513,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40022648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c4,100$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.51,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under50c3,480$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c2,921$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.262,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.825468.5%37 W · 17 L+9.4wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9750…0969backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c1,143$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c1,118$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.642,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51011450%57 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Under50c982.82$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.4113750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c938.49$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.495,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9139…0b63backed Over52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c817.84$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.749,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31222845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Over52c550$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2644240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c541.17$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Under53c450$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.53330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017940.2%72 W · 107 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over52c316.61$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over49c307.26$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2615154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over51c295$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5578652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over48c281.25$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2541649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Under53c265.6$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14015355.6%85 W · 68 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c208.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3340344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986040%24 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9814652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c197.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.363447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Over49c156$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.564957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c154.54$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.033,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over51c151.75$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1647349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over52c147.5$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.832150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Under50c143.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.697346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Over52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6217046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under51c118.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6062546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Under24c106.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.964637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under51c102$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4912554.4%68 W · 57 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x007f…fb6cbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0452951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c93.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.052,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f42…249ebacked Under50c86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under49c85.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7620949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x796f…c23dbacked Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over51c74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2620149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d20…1f58backed Under53c66.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Under52c57.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1614751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over50c50.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2418852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610069%69 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffbc…b889backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.58264.6%53 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over52c44.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3be…4cd6backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over51c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7359141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019147.1%90 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4619848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Over50c38.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1221854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under52c36.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over45c36.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe9…0bbbbacked Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Under51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.858243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over46c29.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.743,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Under52c28.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0217750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.335049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Under51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.263956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a4…bbe8backed Under51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4182…ae54backed Under51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04a1…6b2dbacked Under51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc55…9f7cbacked Under51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfadc…a4e8backed Under51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.262540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Over52c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.151353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under51c20.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.429645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb1…a0ebbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107072.9%51 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108451.2%43 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over62c19.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.433,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.