NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b4ee7f0f7659e712f708f4f31377ead4c07169ab217a3e16581b9bb07516fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $470,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $473,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 364,668$185,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,017.82 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 120,000$58,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,800 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 51c | 26,623$13,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,045.25 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 50c | 23,135$11,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,578.4 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 13,917$6,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,917.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 8,041$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 6,000$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…a1f8backed Under | 51c | 5,994$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 5,805$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.51 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 50c | 3,480$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 2,921$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.26 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…0969backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.07 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 1,118$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.64 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 50c | 982.82$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.41 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 938.49$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…0b63backed Over | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 817.84$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Over | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 541.17$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…b2b6backed Under | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 52c | 316.61$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over | 49c | 307.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.26 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 295$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 48c | 281.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Under | 53c | 265.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 197.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Over | 49c | 156$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 154.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 51c | 151.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 52c | 147.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Under | 50c | 143.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 51c | 118.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Under | 24c | 106.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…fb6cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 93.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f42…249ebacked Under | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under | 49c | 85.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…c23dbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 51c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Under | 53c | 66.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Under | 52c | 57.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 50c | 50.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 52c | 44.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…4cd6backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Over | 50c | 38.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 52c | 36.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…0bbbbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 46c | 29.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 52c | 28.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb1…a0ebbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Cavaliers won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Wizards vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.