NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c307b617f80df4b3219d3a9863156f498127c44e09ecfa8be7f6052f000e6ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 234,063$114,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,655.76 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 9,457$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 8,871$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 53c | 8,057$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254.83 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 5,023$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.51 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…4f4ebacked Over | 49c | 4,433$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 2,142$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 1,961$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 1,766$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.4 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 11c | 1,049$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,003$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.59 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 52c | 619.22$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.89 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 495$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 55c | 437$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Under | 52c | 239.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 216.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Under | 26c | 198.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 194.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Under | 55c | 175.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 165.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 151.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Under | 40c | 118.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 114.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Over | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…d6a8backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 48c | 65.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Under | 52c | 55.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Under | 55c | 54.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under | 53c | 52.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…3eb9backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…f5f5backed Under | 52c | 43.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 39.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Under | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…7a41backed Under | 53c | 36.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 53c | 33.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Over | 48c | 30.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Under | 53c | 27.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 21.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Under | 53c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…c436backed Under | 53c | 21.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 50c | 20.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 53c | 19.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Cavaliers won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Wizards vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.