NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bf24e5ae84fef2548328b21c3517b3bcd82a7e4a6ea874fe453d9085a2bf002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…8ee9backed Under | 48c | 6,781$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 49c | 6,561$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.77 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 4,733$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…1494backed Over | 52c | 3,700$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e3…d5dabacked Over | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 2,005$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 932.74$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 920$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.6 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 52c | 882.6$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.65 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 49c | 786.03$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.15 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…934bbacked Over | 52c | 781.25$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 44c | 545.32$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 525$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.75 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 468.91$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.45 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 65c | 415.31$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.05 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 325.68$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 279.42$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 204.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed Over | 52c | 191.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.49per pick | 41cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 69c | 187.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 168.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 7c | 147.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 13c | 135.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Under | 40c | 128$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 98.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 30c | 97.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 89.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 70c | 76.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 45c | 64.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 80c | 60.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…9599backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db1…0627backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Under | 50c | 49.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 42c | 47.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Under | 44c | 40.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…6700backed Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…700bbacked Under | 53c | 32.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 49c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 42c | 28.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 50c | 27.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…372dbacked Under | 47c | 26.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Under | 49c | 26.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Over | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…752ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 73c | 13.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Cavaliers won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Wizards vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.