NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa416459ee63faf84dc43fbc128e01b6ee16b9b9dad9731e45c05298eac48cdcb

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Wizards
Resolved: Feb 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $107,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $111,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,765 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards	50c	9,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Cavaliers	50c	7,447$3,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,704.08	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…ad46backed Wizards	50c	6,996$3,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,498	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x730f…952cbacked Cavaliers	50c	6,990$3,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,494.9	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b2c…3446backed Wizards	49c	6,531$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards	51c	6,452$3,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,287.84	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	49c	6,407$3,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,166.57	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Cavaliers	50c	6,141$3,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,070.5	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Cavaliers	50c	6,136$3,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,068.08	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Wizards	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,940	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Cavaliers	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Cavaliers	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.99	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards	53c	4,163$2,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,193.68	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards	51c	4,075$2,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,070.36	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe153…8f29backed Cavaliers	51c	3,500$1,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,715	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers	45c	3,311$1,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,816.08	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers	50c	2,771$1,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,382.37	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…b75abacked Cavaliers	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Wizards	49c	2,319$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,136.23	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Wizards	49c	2,037$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Wizards	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Wizards	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	481	37.2%179 W · 302 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers	51c	1,420$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$695.8	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Cavaliers	52c	1,250$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Wizards	51c	1,200$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.08	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers	51c	1,177$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.73	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers	51c	1,040$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.6	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Wizards	51c	982.35$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Cavaliers	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	160	42.5%68 W · 92 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards	49c	935.41$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.35	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed Cavaliers	51c	897.06$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.56	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+4.6wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards	48c	752.98$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.43	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cavaliers	66c	749.02$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.78	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards	51c	700$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.62	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers	45c	630$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.5	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Cavaliers	52c	600$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Cavaliers	49c	561.18$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.75	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Cavaliers	52c	548.08$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.08	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ade…c710backed Cavaliers	51c	530.61$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Wizards	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d0…f7ebbacked Cavaliers	46c	460.94$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.93	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-10.1wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Cavaliers	68c	441.52$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.52	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Wizards	38c	417.18$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.45	172	33.7%58 W · 114 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Cavaliers	51c	404.99$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.45	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Wizards	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Wizards	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	206	50%103 W · 103 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Wizards	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Cavaliers	49c	389.92$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.92	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	55c	370.8$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.33	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards	42c	367.12$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.23	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Wizards	49c	357.14$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	135	36.3%49 W · 86 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Wizards	50c	309.67$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	184	56%103 W · 81 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Cavaliers	51c	294.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.12	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Wizards	51c	284.31$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Wizards	55c	250$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.5	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards	49c	244.2$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.78	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Wizards	50c	240$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Wizards	55c	229.03$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.97	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Wizards	41c	222.48$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.79	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Wizards	49c	218$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.82	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Wizards	29c	217.68$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.13	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Wizards	36c	214.16$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.98	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e4…f2ecbacked Cavaliers	51c	207$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.43	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2234…133cbacked Wizards	50c	207$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Cavaliers	56c	200$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89	412	27.4%113 W · 299 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb2…8083backed Wizards	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Cavaliers	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Wizards	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	625	39.4%246 W · 379 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Wizards	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Cavaliers	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Wizards	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	164	40.9%67 W · 97 L	-13.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers	47c	198$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.94	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Wizards	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	470	48.5%228 W · 242 L	-18.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0486…fbc2backed Cavaliers	51c	178.67$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.55	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+8.6wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Wizards	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards	28c	147.64$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cavaliers	71c	135.51$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.18	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Wizards	50c	126$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Wizards	56c	125$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Cavaliers	51c	120.39$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.96	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Wizards	51c	118.99$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.68	336	53.9%181 W · 155 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Wizards	52c	118.74$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.27	160	52.5%84 W · 76 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Cavaliers	50c	118.34$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.78	383	50.4%193 W · 190 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Wizards	51c	115.86$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.09	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Cavaliers	52c	115.38$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.38	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Wizards	50c	104.48$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.33	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Wizards	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Cavaliers	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	201	43.3%87 W · 114 L	-12.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Wizards	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Cavaliers	50c	98.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.97	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Cavaliers	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Cavaliers	50c	92.78$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.39	362	47.5%172 W · 190 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Wizards	55c	90$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Cavaliers	50c	89.14$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.57	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers	60c	88.23$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.99	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Cavaliers	50c	83.01$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.44	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Cavaliers	49c	79.85$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.33	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Wizards	50c	70.61$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 16.5No won
Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Bub Carrington: Points O/U 10.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Cavaliers won
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 15.5No won
Wizards vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event