NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00582ff094b06916a41defd9be43a53f415bdd38838ebb2df40fee72944471ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 46c | 3,418$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.23 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 2,706$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 709.09$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 33c | 632.6$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.13 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Over | 56c | 537.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.94 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 25c | 353.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Over | 62c | 323.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…5e13backed Over | 70c | 188.95$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 62c | 169.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 62c | 161.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 42c | 150.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 138.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…6a82backed Under | 36c | 133.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 42c | 130$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 31c | 118.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…d6a8backed Over | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 73c | 93.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 40c | 89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 37c | 66.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 62c | 64.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 35c | 61.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 40c | 61.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 60c | 60.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Over | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 42c | 59.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd617…496abacked Over | 56c | 58.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 41c | 58.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 74c | 55.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…dee8backed Over | 75c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Over | 67c | 43.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 36.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked Over | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 61c | 29.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e1…704bbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 46c | 27.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Over | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 58c | 24.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 54c | 23.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 46c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Cavaliers won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Wizards vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.