TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b92…c436

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.77
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.11
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.25
Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$37.95
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$9.65
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.48
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.49
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$82.9
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+76.3%+$27.18
76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35.18
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$34.53
Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
76ers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.04
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$54.24
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.27
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$53.82
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+183.1%+$28.67
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.3
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.01
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+109.2%+$15.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+115%+$20.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+194.1%+$39.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: magic vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.