NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 220.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea03b230cb1f8308e833f8a4840d37f642ce3e9e7b416e932b1bfb5780777d2

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $159,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $164,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,136 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	50c	35,821$17,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,910.5	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Under	50c	35,472$17,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,907.55	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	50c	27,766$13,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,013.75	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under	51c	21,302$10,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,863.85	167	52.1%87 W · 80 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under	51c	11,346$5,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,736.47	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	49c	10,729$5,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,481.22	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	50c	10,662$5,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,334.91	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over	49c	6,500$3,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,314.98	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,060	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over	50c	4,802$2,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,401	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under	51c	4,411$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,249.58	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	139	54.7%76 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	214	46.7%100 W · 114 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over	49c	3,900$1,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,989	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	50c	2,586$1,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,293.11	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over	49c	2,551$1,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,311.69	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over	50c	2,400$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	49c	2,314$1,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,179.35	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	50c	1,717$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.33	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Over	48c	1,453$692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.17	137	50.4%69 W · 68 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over	49c	1,429$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.57	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	49c	1,413$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$723.54	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	71c	1,169$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.4	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over	37c	1,025$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.59	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	50c	737$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.5	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	42c	723.33$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.96	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	70c	716.72$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	54c	713.25$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.82	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf692…b195backed Under	49c	661$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.89	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Over	52c	654.5$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.3	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over	14c	415$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.9	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over	26c	365.89$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.01	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	49c	299.99$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	50c	297.83$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.92	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Over	34c	295$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…cc3abacked Over	51c	281$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.69	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	47c	278.67$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.42	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over	50c	250$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	50c	243$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.5	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Under	52c	231.29$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.27	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under	51c	230$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.3	126	45.2%57 W · 69 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5718…24d4backed Over	69c	230$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.9	67	67.2%45 W · 22 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b0…339abacked Over	51c	220$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under	52c	205.11$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.66	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	48c	199.99$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	51c	196.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under	51c	170.59$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…cc71backed Over	51c	160.38$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.49	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Under	51c	156.84$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.99	145	47.6%69 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under	62c	155.35$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	54c	147.58$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over	16c	142.88$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.64	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Under	51c	138.69$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.73	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	50c	133$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.5	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under	57c	131.43$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.71	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over	40c	125.96$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.96	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over	40c	123.05$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.61	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b92…c436backed Under	52c	115.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Under	46c	107.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	46c	105.01$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.35	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6728…3ba0backed Under	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Over	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under	52c	99.37$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.67	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over	51c	96$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.52	473	49%232 W · 241 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	66c	92.44$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.13	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under	47c	91.09$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.47	189	57.1%108 W · 81 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bc4…7a41backed Under	52c	91.08$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.36	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	49c	85.32$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.35	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Under	53c	75.49$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	116	51.7%60 W · 56 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under	55c	72.94$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.12	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Over	21c	72.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.33	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdab9…cdfcbacked Under	52c	72.23$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.56	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under	58c	71.02$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked Over	68c	66.6$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.33	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.22per pick	50cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over	67c	65$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.36	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over	49c	64.99$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.14	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over	50c	61.38$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.69	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d26…a6d5backed Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over	49c	59$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.09	282	43.3%122 W · 160 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under	51c	57.69$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.42	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over	39c	55.94$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.23	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over	44c	54.62$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.85	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over	27c	54$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.42	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over	49c	53.02$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.04	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf1…8506backed Under	52c	48.54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.24	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over	49c	45.73$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.32	181	50.3%91 W · 90 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	34c	45.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.17	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under	52c	45.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.57	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 220.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event