NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3b1ac727b8eb31910e9af44fc6d76bffe2b661fc91a3a409244fd80e791cc0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Magic, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 48c | 247,971$118,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,896.76 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks | 52c | 215,087$111,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,241.93 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 48c | 23,171$11,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,122.07 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 52c | 17,500$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks | 53c | 11,000$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 52c | 10,760$5,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,143.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Bucks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.98 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Bucks | 53c | 8,000$4,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 52c | 6,644$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.15 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 42c | 4,181$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Magic | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Magic | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Magic | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bucks | 53c | 2,700$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Bucks | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 48c | 1,886$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 51c | 1,837$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.87 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.19 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 74c | 1,111$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Bucks | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 47c | 1,005$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.35 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 52c | 770.24$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bucks | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Bucks | 79c | 702.66$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 47c | 528.79$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Bucks | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Bucks | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Bucks | 54c | 495$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Bucks | 50c | 494.68$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.26 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 50c | 417.47$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 52c | 404.97$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.38 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 43c | 360.42$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…6413backed Bucks | 53c | 354.72$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Bucks | 53c | 293.91$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.14 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Bucks | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 31c | 219.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…be92backed Magic | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Magic | 47c | 188.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Bucks | 51c | 185.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Bucks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Bucks | 54c | 180.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 51c | 166.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f42…249ebacked Bucks | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Bucks | 75c | 141.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks | 57c | 140.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Bucks | 53c | 132$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Magic | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Bucks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Bucks | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438b…fb23backed Bucks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bucks | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…6a82backed Magic | 51c | 94.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Magic | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Bucks | 54c | 75.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Bucks | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…fb6cbacked Bucks | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…c23dbacked Bucks | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Magic | 50c | 74.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Bucks | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Magic | 25c | 70.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Bucks | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…3ab9backed Magic | 48c | 61.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce52…cc2fbacked Magic | 48c | 61.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Magic | 34c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc80c…6093backed Bucks | 54c | 50.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Magic | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Magic | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Bucks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Magic | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Bucks | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Bucks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Bucks | 53c | 36.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Magic | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…c5cabacked Bucks | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…0bbbbacked Bucks | 54c | 31.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bucks | 54c | 28.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Magic | 48c | 28.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Magic | 46c | 27.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Magic | 50c | 24.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Bucks | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Bucks | 52c | 22.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bucks | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Bucks | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Bucks | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Magic | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-6.5)Bucks won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Bucks vs. MagicBucks won
- Bucks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Over won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.