NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb58e67784d78f2cc421cef1da04773e5e9f45a3d3a5f1435d90a5a042ce208b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,196,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,375,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,196,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 879 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Bucks | 20c | 625,000$125,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499,999.86 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Magic | 80c | 120,000$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,000 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Bucks | 20c | 70,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,000 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Bucks | 20c | 51,981$10,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,545.08 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 74c | 44,227$32,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,852.05 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks | 20c | 43,641$8,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,063.98 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 80c | 41,811$33,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,448.41 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 56c | 40,680$22,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,605.02 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 80c | 38,118$30,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,361.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks | 20c | 36,365$7,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,091.98 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Bucks | 28c | 34,164$9,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,598.01 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 62c | 33,564$20,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,965.18 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 80c | 30,528$24,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,422.02 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Magic | 80c | 30,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Magic | 79c | 29,804$23,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,676.82 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 71c | 29,259$20,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,817.74 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Magic | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Magic | 80c | 25,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Bucks | 21c | 25,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,750 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magic | 80c | 24,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Magic | 80c | 23,719$18,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,975 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Bucks | 45c | 20,203$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,202.6 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…752ebacked Magic | 0c | 20,011$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Magic | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 80c | 19,605$15,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,626 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Magic | 80c | 19,548$15,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,571.47 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Magic | 78c | 19,000$14,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,790 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Bucks | 22c | 18,995$4,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,786.06 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Magic | 72c | 18,927$13,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,674.92 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 25c | 15,217$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,408.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Bucks | 21c | 15,005$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,853.95 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bucks | 19c | 14,633$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,852.68 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 79c | 14,314$11,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,357.59 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Magic | 71c | 13,125$9,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,263.98 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Magic | 44c | 12,666$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,532.46 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Magic | 76c | 12,631$9,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,564.25 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Magic | 80c | 11,930$9,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,529.72 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 57c | 11,175$6,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,323.08 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Bucks | 23c | 11,164$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,614.89 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Magic | 78c | 10,803$8,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,373.23 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Bucks | 33c | 10,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750.01 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Bucks | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Bucks | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…5591backed Bucks | 55c | 10,000$5,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,545.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Bucks | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Bucks | 19c | 9,990$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,091.86 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…cc97backed Bucks | 55c | 9,779$5,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Bucks | 52c | 9,196$4,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,434.79 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 56c | 9,182$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,144.57 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Bucks | 20c | 9,015$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,207.27 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Bucks | 20c | 8,676$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,976.47 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 65c | 8,600$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 21c | 8,056$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,393.77 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Magic | 56c | 8,052$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.87 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Bucks | 20c | 8,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Bucks | 21c | 7,619$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,019.05 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Magic | 80c | 6,013$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.01 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Magic | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Magic | 80c | 5,900$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Bucks | 20c | 5,898$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,718.06 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Magic | 80c | 5,698$4,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558.49 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Bucks | 42c | 5,256$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.08 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Bucks | 19c | 5,037$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.83 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Bucks | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Magic | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks | 64c | 4,877$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.55 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Bucks | 29c | 4,654$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.6 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Magic | 48c | 4,600$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 39c | 4,580$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.95 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 19c | 4,287$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.29 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Bucks | 48c | 4,165$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.04 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…3b1dbacked Magic | 80c | 4,005$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Magic | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…d881backed Bucks | 46c | 4,000$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bucks | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Bucks | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bucks | 54c | 3,839$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.46 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Bucks | 25c | 3,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Magic | 55c | 3,638$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 59c | 3,611$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.58 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bucks | 21c | 3,571$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.43 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Bucks | 20c | 3,529$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.54 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 37c | 3,480$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Bucks | 19c | 3,429$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.63 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Bucks | 53c | 3,425$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.47 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Bucks | 32c | 3,200$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…b2e9backed Magic | 80c | 3,172$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Magic | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bucks | 56c | 2,965$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.58 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Magic | 78c | 2,948$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.81 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Bucks | 27c | 2,928$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.44 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Magic | 55c | 2,785$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Bucks | 28c | 2,679$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.57 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Magic | 72c | 2,566$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.92 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…65d8backed Bucks | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bucks | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks | 34c | 2,480$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.47 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Magic | 80c | 2,414$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.75 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-6.5)Bucks won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Bucks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Over won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.