NBA · resolved market

Spread: Magic (-10.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e32c96c31cd761714b6948799ba76013faa7b7fef877c57478f6581118411ef

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Bucksof Magic, Bucks
Resolved: Feb 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $627,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $642,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $627,572 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Magic	52c	358,270$186,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186,300.18	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks	48c	350,000$168,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182,000	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bucks	48c	60,383$28,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,399.24	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks	51c	44,061$22,406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,654.91	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Magic	52c	23,018$11,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,969.36	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic	49c	22,481$11,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,015.74	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Magic	51c	21,502$10,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,990.95	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Bucks	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,200	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Magic	52c	16,578$8,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,620.56	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic	51c	15,274$7,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,731.44	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Magic	49c	13,900$6,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,834.81	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Magic	50c	13,784$6,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,957.9	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	80c	11,930$9,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,443.38	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks	48c	10,005$4,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,202.67	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Bucks	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,199.99	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Bucks	49c	9,999$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,099.5	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Magic	52c	9,615$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic	51c	8,866$4,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,521.65	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Magic	51c	8,082$4,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,111.97	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Bucks	49c	7,791$3,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,973.55	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Bucks	50c	5,731$2,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,875.43	195	60%117 W · 78 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Magic	50c	4,828$2,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,413.88	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Bucks	51c	4,566$2,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,237.34	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Magic	52c	4,312$2,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,242	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks	48c	4,167$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,166.67	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Magic	52c	4,000$2,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,078.78	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Bucks	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Bucks	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,921.57	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Magic	52c	3,900$2,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,028	481	37.2%179 W · 302 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic	52c	3,839$1,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.13	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Magic	52c	2,896$1,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,506.04	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Bucks	49c	2,653$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,353.06	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Magic	50c	2,582$1,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290.98	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Magic	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Magic	51c	2,059$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.09	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Magic	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	54	68.5%37 W · 17 L	+9.4wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+30%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Bucks	49c	1,500$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$765	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Bucks	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Magic	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks	48c	1,485$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.29	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks	49c	1,416$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.12	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cc9…7fe4backed Magic	54c	1,360$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.39	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	63cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Bucks	45c	1,300$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.01	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Magic	50c	1,262$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.14	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Magic	50c	1,100$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.5	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Bucks	52c	956.52$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.52	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Magic	52c	940$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.8	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Bucks	49c	800$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Magic	49c	772.54$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.35	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Bucks	49c	771.43$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.43	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Bucks	42c	720$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.6	103	42.7%44 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks	51c	700$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.55	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…2275backed Bucks	48c	700$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks	50c	634.1$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.98	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Bucks	50c	593.65$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.17	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Magic	57c	591.24$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.27	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic	49c	571$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.79	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Bucks	52c	480.77$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.77	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Magic	53c	401.84$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.8	170	46.5%79 W · 91 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e11…45ecbacked Bucks	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+5.1wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Magic	52c	386.01$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	207	54.1%112 W · 95 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Magic	20c	358.39$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.66	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Magic	51c	351.08$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.23	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Magic	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Magic	23c	288.32$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.38	243	30.5%74 W · 169 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic	46c	287.96$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.58	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Bucks	48c	285.07$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.19	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Bucks	49c	274.29$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.89	231	44.2%102 W · 129 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Magic	52c	269.23$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Bucks	48c	237.56$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.16	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Magic	51c	230$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.3	641	39%250 W · 391 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Bucks	49c	224.49$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.49	343	42.9%147 W · 196 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3cc…c029backed Bucks	49c	216.98$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.66	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Bucks	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	178	45.5%81 W · 97 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Magic	50c	200.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.05	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Bucks	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	625	39.4%246 W · 379 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Bucks	51c	199.91$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.95	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Magic	49c	192.99$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.56	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Magic	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	661	53.3%352 W · 309 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Bucks	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Magic	49c	185$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.65	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Magic	50c	180$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Bucks	70c	158.1$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.43	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Bucks	50c	140$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Magic	50c	130$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5974…2a69backed Bucks	58c	128.41$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.41	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Bucks	49c	122.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.45	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Bucks	52c	117.31$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.31	184	56%103 W · 81 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Magic	34c	117.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Magic	43c	116.01$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.44	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Magic	44c	114.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.04	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe09c…d04fbacked Bucks	48c	104.12$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.14	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Bucks	49c	102.47$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.47	358	44.1%158 W · 200 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eca…6882backed Magic	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	159	36.5%58 W · 101 L	-11.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Bucks	49c	102$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.02	385	45.7%176 W · 209 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d81…20c3backed Bucks	50c	100.6$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.6	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Magic	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed Bucks	49c	99.06$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.82	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Bucks	47c	96.88$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.9	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Magic (-10.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event