TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x796f…c23d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+47.1%+$94.18
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$29.75
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$47.52
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.4%+$10.8
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37%+$14.79
Spread: Magic (-11.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+27%+$8.68
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$113.85
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.04
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+55.4%+$53.82
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+62.6%+$36.81
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+54.3%+$21.74
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+25.9%+$5.19
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$44.96
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)backed Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$45.99
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-9.5)backed Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-1.5)backed Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+79.5%+$15.59
Spread: Murray State Racers (-3.5)backed Indiana State Sycamores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+208.5%+$28.84
Rotterdam Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Bublikbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$20.75
Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$70.2
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$56.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$34.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.