CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c505f94d5647d8295f457e290b0ff653bd3ca6742686d6a6e214c7da9b2d12f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 36c | 151,351$55,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,233.75 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 63c | 51,068$32,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,895.09 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 20,392$12,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,569.18 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 64c | 11,000$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 64c | 2,776$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.36 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 63c | 2,730$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.1 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 63c | 1,008$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.86 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 64c | 942.95$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.46 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…2fb4backed Under | 64c | 725.1$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Over | 41c | 490.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 65c | 171.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 77c | 151.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 64c | 135.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…03d1backed Over | 16c | 116.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Over | 21c | 111.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 63c | 104.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 63c | 93.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 29c | 91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 35c | 86.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Under | 65c | 86.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 76c | 85.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ad4bbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 61c | 55.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 21c | 55.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Under | 64c | 53.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 67c | 51.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 37c | 47.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…85e6backed Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd651…f32bbacked Over | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…9984backed Over | 36c | 42.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 73c | 41.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…1ce9backed Under | 64c | 41.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…c23dbacked Under | 79c | 40.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 45c | 40.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 159 | 58.5%93 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 76c | 23.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Under | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 285 | 56.8%162 W · 123 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…ddb9backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 64c | 19.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 68c | 17.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 78c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.