TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72d8…1ce9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Us Politics at 50 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 26, 2026, EDT6952.2%36 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.86
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$19.44
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$59.41
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.66
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$37.72
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,972Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,155.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$156.12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$640.68
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$375.75
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$29.31
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.7
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$21.35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid+70.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$219.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.