CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6030d2d4e1f4410a11a50fe866c8f6ad85eb4680165f28ddbad2a340aebeca11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $561,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $635,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed M80 | 44c | 241,271$105,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,902.58 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 57,832$31,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,024.38 | 262 | 56.1%147 W · 115 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 23,534$13,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,067.96 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…25a1backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 21,407$11,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,633.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 19,807$11,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,392.19 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 16,000$9,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,982.58 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 15,999$9,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,735.59 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 15,555$8,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.75 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 15,000$8,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,356.52 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked M80 | 39c | 10,440$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,046.64 | 367 | 53.7%197 W · 170 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed M80 | 33c | 10,429$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.26 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed M80 | 42c | 10,000$4,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190.8 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 9,937$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.77 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…3dddbacked M80 | 31c | 9,680$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed M80 | 1c | 7,647$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 7,295$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.96 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 6,380$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.16 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked M80 | 26c | 6,315$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…b287backed M80 | 6c | 4,680$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 4,400$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 4,376$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.73 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed M80 | 27c | 4,113$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.59 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 4,091$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.91 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked M80 | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 3,974$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.81 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,960$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.59 | 264 | 75%198 W · 66 L | +24.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed M80 | 34c | 3,787$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.27 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,514$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.48 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,179$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.3 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 3,051$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.97 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked M80 | 30c | 2,940$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.92 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked M80 | 33c | 2,798$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.41 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,537$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.45 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,529$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.86 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…e325backed M80 | 5c | 2,527$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,329$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.6 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…1c8cbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,324$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed M80 | 35c | 2,282$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.26 | 552 | 32.4%179 W · 373 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…46d7backed M80 | 31c | 2,205$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,153$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.3 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,099$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.27 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,057$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.58 | 399 | 44.1%176 W · 223 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,973$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…82babacked M80 | 21c | 1,918$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.31 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…c77cbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,903$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,900$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…637abacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,800$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,775$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.66 | 428 | 54.9%235 W · 193 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed M80 | 8c | 1,750$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked M80 | 8c | 1,700$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,670$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.55 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed M80 | 43c | 1,649$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.09 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,559$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.06 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked M80 | 33c | 1,554$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.04 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,469$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.3 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked M80 | 34c | 1,458$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…a90fbacked M80 | 31c | 1,449$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,433$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.56 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,358$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.91 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed M80 | 32c | 1,339$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.43 | 378 | 45.5%172 W · 206 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.14 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed M80 | 15c | 1,200$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 454 | 39.6%180 W · 274 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,071$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.42 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,064$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.11 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…4e8dbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,020$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,011$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.83 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed M80 | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked M80 | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8fffbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed M80 | 34c | 999.99$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.4 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked M80 | 22c | 900.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 853.76$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdf…f53dbacked M80 | 13c | 850.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc2…9876backed M80 | 28c | 809.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 800$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.97 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…c58bbacked M80 | 30c | 782.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 755.35$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.05 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed M80 | 41c | 697.15$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 687.84$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.24 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…4b17backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 640.83$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed M80 | 30c | 613.75$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.12 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 613$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.16 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed M80 | 33c | 600$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 462 | 46.8%216 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…278bbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked M80 | 30c | 599.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.33 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed M80 | 26c | 582.92$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.23 | 403 | 41.7%168 W · 235 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 575.5$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.16 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed M80 | 33c | 573$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962d…dc4cbacked M80 | 35c | 565.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked M80 | 42c | 550$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.49 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 539$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.17 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…33b5backed M80 | 30c | 529.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 524.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked M80 | 24c | 524.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AM80 won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)M80 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)M80 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.