TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of Natus Vincere, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked M8045c44,319$19,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,375.335,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Natus Vincere55c30,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,499.915742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Natus Vincere56c29,857$16,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,72019554.9%107 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed M8044c26,218$11,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,682.164740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked M8047c11,591$5,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,143.4914645.2%66 W · 80 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Natus Vincere55c9,999$5,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.4218950.8%96 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere53c8,866$4,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.0617861.2%109 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Natus Vincere55c8,156$4,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.7967951.4%349 W · 330 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Natus Vincere55c6,200$3,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.974742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Natus Vincere55c5,596$3,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,076.8785358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed M8048c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60055736.3%202 W · 355 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Natus Vincere52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9927353.1%145 W · 128 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed M8048c4,073$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.644936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Natus Vincere54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed M8045c3,582$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.322,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed M8045c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65072046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed M8045c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.971,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed M8045c2,195$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.042,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed M8045c2,194$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.2738546.2%178 W · 207 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0e6…584bbacked M8047c1,921$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed M8045c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82578939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked M8045c1,417$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.355633.9%19 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed M8036c1,386$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.736054.4%196 W · 164 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x620b…2e9fbacked Natus Vincere52c1,189$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked M8044c1,111$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.161,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Natus Vincere55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60511155%61 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Natus Vincere56c1,009$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56172645.6%331 W · 395 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed M8044c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56011643.1%50 W · 66 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Natus Vincere55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9938557.1%220 W · 165 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed Natus Vincere55c999.97$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.988442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Natus Vincere53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024358%141 W · 102 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed M8044c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0961055.9%341 W · 269 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Natus Vincere56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50418754.5%102 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff5…6afbbacked Natus Vincere55c889$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.953724.3%9 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed M8046c861.11$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1132461.4%199 W · 125 L+23.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x41ef…34cabacked Natus Vincere56c846.75$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1840%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa4d…0bd2backed M8044c804.93$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked M8045c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4405927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1fe…e21fbacked M8044c760.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.1512748.8%62 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5329backed Natus Vincere55c747.58$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.177853.8%42 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed M8070c741.02$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.061,37766.4%914 W · 463 L+77.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0c…7f26backed Natus Vincere54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked M8045c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.677170.4%50 W · 21 L+9.7wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked M8045c665.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.2515658.3%91 W · 65 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Natus Vincere53c660$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.869253.6%371 W · 321 L-23.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed M8024c650$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4946434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed M8045c647.65$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.2159841.3%247 W · 351 L-20.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked M8045c618$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6553135%186 W · 345 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed M8045c588.89$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.897268.1%49 W · 23 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Natus Vincere56c562.91$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1665254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed M8045c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5619847.5%94 W · 104 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked M8044c506.15$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.4410538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed M8047c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26519336.3%70 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Natus Vincere53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26577247.8%369 W · 403 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Natus Vincere53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26538950.4%196 W · 193 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed M8047c470$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.15,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked Natus Vincere55c458.16$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029854.7%163 W · 135 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…11c0backed Natus Vincere51c449.98$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x189f…f4f3backed M8045c440$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2422055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked M8047c429.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4517650.6%89 W · 87 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253f…4253backed M8047c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.538150.6%41 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked M8044c362.99$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.222,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Natus Vincere55c352.4$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8222940.2%92 W · 137 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4536…f41bbacked Natus Vincere54c347.42$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.985139.2%20 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39f…1ac4backed M8044c340$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.42650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x643b…a1cbbacked M8047c312.48$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0054…59ffbacked Natus Vincere74c310.81$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1613357.1%76 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed M8048c310.42$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4211260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked M8045c302.22$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.223652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed M8044c300.33$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.181,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed M8046c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16257740.4%233 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Natus Vincere53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15914040%56 W · 84 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e7…e63ebacked Natus Vincere75c296.98$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Natus Vincere56c285.71$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16045544.4%202 W · 253 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Natus Vincere29c284.52$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3740341.7%168 W · 235 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere53c284.27$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.667,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked M8045c279.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9920054.5%109 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Natus Vincere56c271.75$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.187255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed M8044c267.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0874754.6%408 W · 339 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Natus Vincere56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021463.6%136 W · 78 L-0.7wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked M8045c265.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.550349.3%248 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed Natus Vincere53c260$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.85052%26 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked M8045c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.549245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked M8078c214.56$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.726853.7%144 W · 124 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…6326backed M8047c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c9…8bf1backed M8048c209.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9613148.1%63 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed Natus Vincere56c209.13$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.026953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed M8048c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3338049.5%188 W · 192 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed M8048c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Natus Vincere55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108046.3%37 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked M8045c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11013442.5%57 W · 77 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed M8046c199.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9945439.6%180 W · 274 L+1.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3c…23c4backed M8044c194$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.641770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+37%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd22…bb29backed Natus Vincere55c185.17$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Natus Vincere53c183.85$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.446053.3%32 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Natus Vincere55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040455.4%224 W · 180 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f2…d56fbacked Natus Vincere55c180$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.84264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked M8025c179.3$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.011,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed M8044c179$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2413158.8%77 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Natus Vincere56c175.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0911147.7%53 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.