CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4102ea2628aa151400253071f16dfc78409591d4cb7ff9be087d34e97ae53fb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of Natus Vincere, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,375,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,457,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,375,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed M80 | 30c | 688,855$204,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484,638.54 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 588,768$428,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428,421.03 | 262 | 56.1%147 W · 115 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed M80 | 24c | 82,075$19,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,162.42 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…9ccfbacked M80 | 45c | 51,802$23,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,445.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed M80 | 56c | 31,923$17,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,061.57 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 26,048$17,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,188.77 | 255 | 53.3%136 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 25,039$13,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,083.67 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 25,020$11,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,761.24 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 22,439$10,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,382.12 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,400 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 16,485$5,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,808.7 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 16,000$10,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,511.05 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 16,000$10,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,490.91 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…077bbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 15,639$11,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,729.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 15,000$10,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,227.2 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 11,988$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,586.58 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 9,891$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.31 | 226 | 41.2%93 W · 133 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed M80 | 40c | 9,230$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.2 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 8,800$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed M80 | 24c | 8,119$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,170.57 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked M80 | 44c | 5,521$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.79 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 5,215$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.01 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 4,981$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.84 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbd…313fbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 4,956$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 4,749$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.33 | 453 | 57.2%259 W · 194 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 4,620$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed M80 | 61c | 4,508$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…4e8dbacked M80 | 31c | 4,490$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 4,400$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 4,387$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.12 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed M80 | 25c | 4,300$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.49 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked M80 | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.67 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 4,019$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.24 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 4,000$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.94 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed M80 | 24c | 3,868$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.43 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…2ec4backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 3,514$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 3,432$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 3,421$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.42 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…e503backed M80 | 48c | 3,379$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b81…4967backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 3,333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 3,155$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…1c8cbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 3,154$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 3,070$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.72 | 428 | 54.9%235 W · 193 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed M80 | 33c | 3,053$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.76 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…d0f7backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,000$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,997$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,915$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.14 | 462 | 46.8%216 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,896$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 2,796$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,792$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.67 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,792$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 2,785$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…c77cbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,578$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,522$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.59 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed M80 | 28c | 2,502$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.78 | 552 | 32.4%179 W · 373 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked M80 | 48c | 2,487$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.56 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,481$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,443$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.22 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…ef08backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,373$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.39 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…3c8fbacked M80 | 48c | 2,309$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.58 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,202$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.34 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 2,189$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,189$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.68 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked M80 | 26c | 2,124$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…637abacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,116$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.15 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 2,039$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,018$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.79 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked M80 | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.98 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 1,882$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.23 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,833$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked M80 | 20c | 1,820$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…82babacked M80 | 22c | 1,800$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.99 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 1,772$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,711$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…46d7backed M80 | 35c | 1,693$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed M80 | 39c | 1,679$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.86 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,653$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,579$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.57 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,561$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.36 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 32c | 1,515$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.48 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 399 | 44.1%176 W · 223 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,483$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.23 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…1467backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,461$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed M80 | 44c | 1,408$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.38 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,386$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.16 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,346$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.28 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,345$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.2 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed M80 | 44c | 1,334$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.4 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,254$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.84 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked M80 | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,193$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,165$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.06 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked M80 | 25c | 1,162$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.5 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed M80 | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.85 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 1,153$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AM80 won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)M80 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)M80 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.