CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd278aec06fc0ff8630e422241930ac55998964502921570f46f2a04b6b5b91b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of Natus Vincere, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,594,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,840,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,594,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 723 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 91,142$35,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,098.76 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed M80 | 77c | 81,922$63,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,548.11 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed M80 | 21c | 70,794$14,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,926.95 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed M80 | 34c | 49,029$16,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,383.04 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 41,000$28,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,699.98 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…cf22backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 39,070$27,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,346.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked M80 | 21c | 39,000$8,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,809.98 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…429abacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 36,330$28,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,700.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…6529backed M80 | 25c | 34,512$8,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,883.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 29,082$20,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,286.44 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed M80 | 30c | 27,475$8,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,160.63 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed M80 | 31c | 26,407$8,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,343.76 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 24,463$19,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,312.97 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 23,162$10,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,898.07 | 367 | 53.7%197 W · 170 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…80a3backed M80 | 21c | 22,292$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,556.53 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…077bbacked M80 | 31c | 22,049$6,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,146.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 21,876$6,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,375.79 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…449cbacked Natus Vincere | 0c | 19,051$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 18,972$12,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,625.03 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 17,517$13,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,777.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed M80 | 21c | 15,891$3,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,553.97 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 15,000$11,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,850 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked M80 | 14c | 14,860$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,775.7 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked M80 | 35c | 14,079$4,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,124.11 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 13,127$10,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,330.62 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 11,894$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed M80 | 30c | 11,486$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,040.52 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 11,017$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed M80 | 53c | 10,158$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.45 | 91 | 63.7%58 W · 33 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed M80 | 47c | 9,975$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.8 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…b04cbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 9,860$7,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 68cpaid | -59%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 9,819$6,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480.7 | 262 | 56.1%147 W · 115 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed M80 | 51c | 9,810$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819.07 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 9,763$7,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,336.97 | 238 | 46.2%110 W · 128 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…2ec4backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 9,712$6,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,540.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed M80 | 26c | 9,396$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,918.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 8,826$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.42 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 8,700$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,960 | 150 | 58.7%88 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked M80 | 29c | 8,611$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.85 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…b287backed M80 | 30c | 8,510$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,957 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 8,500$6,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed M80 | 30c | 8,140$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,668.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 8,030$4,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,648.49 | 264 | 75%198 W · 66 L | +24.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 8,028$5,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,712.01 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 8,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.96 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 7,500$5,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,925 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed M80 | 31c | 7,320$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050.67 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…e325backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 7,047$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 6,974$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,358.06 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed M80 | 30c | 6,762$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,733.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked M80 | 20c | 6,329$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,063.58 | 195 | 29.2%57 W · 138 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa2…670ebacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 6,250$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 6,222$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,915.38 | 327 | 52.3%171 W · 156 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 6,094$4,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,144.32 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed M80 | 30c | 6,083$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.07 | 257 | 49%126 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed M80 | 50c | 6,058$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed M80 | 28c | 6,010$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.34 | 378 | 45.5%172 W · 206 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed M80 | 21c | 5,619$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.42 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 5,445$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.98 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed M80 | 24c | 5,293$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.28 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,139$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.51 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked M80 | 19c | 5,135$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.41 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 5,013$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.05 | 453 | 57.2%259 W · 194 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…0200backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…ef79backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 5,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…2a33backed M80 | 22c | 4,907$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked M80 | 52c | 4,896$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.13 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed M80 | 20c | 4,862$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.75 | 598 | 41.3%247 W · 351 L | -20.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…e503backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 4,751$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 4,677$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…5972backed M80 | 21c | 4,499$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.27 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 4,466$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.09 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2829…12a0backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 4,450$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…1467backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 4,170$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked M80 | 30c | 4,050$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835 | 293 | 47.1%138 W · 155 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…4e8dbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 4,036$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.27 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…0c98backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 4,035$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked M80 | 35c | 4,005$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.87 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked M80 | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.99 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked M80 | 21c | 3,932$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.28 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed M80 | 26c | 3,896$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.76 | 332 | 32.2%107 W · 225 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked M80 | 30c | 3,833$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.33 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…50f0backed M80 | 21c | 3,629$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked M80 | 27c | 3,627$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.28 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 3,555$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.5 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…8088backed M80 | 31c | 3,502$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed M80 | 21c | 3,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 3,493$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked M80 | 31c | 3,482$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.1 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,458$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed M80 | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed M80 | 29c | 3,183$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.72 | 229 | 41.9%96 W · 133 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed M80 | 47c | 3,126$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.02 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 3,034$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.69 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked M80 | 7c | 3,032$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.05 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed M80 | 21c | 3,008$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.69 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed M80 | 28c | 3,006$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.68 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked M80 | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)M80 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)M80 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.