TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2d80…6326

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$78.52
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$346.07
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$153.57
Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Faticbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$109.36
Sion: Murkel Dellien vs Ryan Nijboerbacked Ryan Nijboer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.92
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Lois Boissonbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$68.9
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.08
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$30.55
Miami Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.54
Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Murphy Cassonebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.95
Miami Open: Shuai Zhang vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Miami Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.39
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)backed Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.9%+$23.06
BNP Paribas Open: Ella Seidel vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$22
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$146.36
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Abacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.39
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.31
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.08
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$53.3
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Tricked (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$18.24
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$106.21
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$61.73
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+41.1%+$19.3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$78.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.56
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$33.55
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Joventut vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.