CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6302cadf38fc85645b07fc8d718d11413491f0dcf3b675b96d339fa14745a6fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed K27 | 49c | 100,825$49,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,033.13 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed HOTU | 51c | 78,101$40,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,050.72 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 49c | 46,421$22,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,522.72 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked HOTU | 51c | 35,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,999.96 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4d…0bd2backed HOTU | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,249.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed K27 | 48c | 10,710$5,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,167.49 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…6657backed HOTU | 52c | 8,348$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked HOTU | 52c | 6,310$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.16 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked HOTU | 73c | 3,614$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.47 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked K27 | 48c | 3,440$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.11 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…a179backed HOTU | 53c | 3,246$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked HOTU | 52c | 3,109$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.15 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed HOTU | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed K27 | 48c | 2,669$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.99 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked HOTU | 52c | 2,515$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.28 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…ddacbacked K27 | 50c | 2,168$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed K27 | 49c | 2,083$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.83 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed K27 | 49c | 2,053$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.28 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked HOTU | 52c | 2,007$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.36 | 453 | 57.2%259 W · 194 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked HOTU | 53c | 1,886$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.41 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed HOTU | 65c | 1,793$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.46 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed K27 | 49c | 1,723$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.81 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed HOTU | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed K27 | 48c | 1,625$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.92 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed HOTU | 51c | 1,525$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.44 | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked HOTU | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed HOTU | 40c | 1,258$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.06 | 262 | 56.1%147 W · 115 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked K27 | 49c | 1,212$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed K27 | 50c | 1,008$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 324 | 61.4%199 W · 125 L | +23.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed HOTU | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed K27 | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU | 53c | 974.78$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.78 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked K27 | 37c | 911.21$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.7 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed HOTU | 56c | 775.88$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.4 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked K27 | 29c | 746.4$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 362 | 40.3%146 W · 216 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed K27 | 40c | 729.4$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.9 | 373 | 46.1%172 W · 201 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 49c | 670.5$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.16 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed HOTU | 52c | 637.89$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.19 | 616 | 54.9%338 W · 278 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed HOTU | 68c | 637.09$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.35 | 153 | 35.9%55 W · 98 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked K27 | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked K27 | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed K27 | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 492 | 51%251 W · 241 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed K27 | 13c | 600$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ac87backed K27 | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked HOTU | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 156 | 58.3%91 W · 65 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed HOTU | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed K27 | 48c | 573.72$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed HOTU | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 71c | 547.03$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.47 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed K27 | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…256ebacked K27 | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked HOTU | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked HOTU | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 368 | 47.6%175 W · 193 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed K27 | 55c | 458.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed HOTU | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked K27 | 49c | 392.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked K27 | 59c | 387.39$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.24 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed HOTU | 52c | 386.34$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.36 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed HOTU | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed K27 | 47c | 378$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked K27 | 48c | 368.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed HOTU | 41c | 349.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.49 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3584…3edcbacked K27 | 49c | 330.76$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 55c | 323.04$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…f447backed K27 | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked K27 | 48c | 309.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed HOTU | 51c | 307.45$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked K27 | 18c | 305.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed K27 | 33c | 303.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed HOTU | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…02febacked K27 | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…7a52backed HOTU | 47c | 299.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed HOTU | 51c | 296.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb273…2eb9backed HOTU | 72c | 283.41$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed HOTU | 52c | 282.39$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 448 | 52.5%235 W · 213 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed K27 | 49c | 276.16$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed K27 | 47c | 274.63$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed K27 | 66c | 264.34$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed HOTU | 52c | 261.88$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe044…019abacked K27 | 30c | 260$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked K27 | 38c | 218.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed HOTU | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…6326backed K27 | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked K27 | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed K27 | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed K27 | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HOTU | 45c | 193.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed HOTU | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed HOTU | 52c | 192.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed K27 | 49c | 190.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed HOTU | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…6036backed HOTU | 53c | 184.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked HOTU | 42c | 177.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 735 | 53.5%393 W · 342 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed K27 | 6c | 177$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed HOTU | 72c | 164.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 206 | 53.9%111 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked HOTU | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked K27 | 46c | 130.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked HOTU | 54c | 121$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed HOTU | 55c | 121$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.