CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x194aa7de84eb1bad26950a377e2948f6b2a151a607f4a81db54a333191f6f79b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2525…3dddbacked K27 | 58c | 2,735$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed HOTU | 42c | 1,593$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.14 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed HOTU | 42c | 1,468$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.31 | 533 | 42.6%227 W · 306 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed HOTU | 53c | 1,321$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.76 | 696 | 71.7%499 W · 197 L | +120.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe75d…a961backed K27 | 59c | 1,314$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HOTU | 65c | 1,119$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.73 | 2,707 | 47.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed K27 | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 448 | 55.6%249 W · 199 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked K27 | 48c | 999.99$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +12.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…2f6ebacked K27 | 54c | 758.99$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.64 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed HOTU | 41c | 722.08$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.14 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed HOTU | 45c | 659.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.74 | 1,205 | 54.5%657 W · 548 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed K27 | 62c | 641.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 209 | 60.8%127 W · 82 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c76…fcc2backed K27 | 57c | 590.51$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.38 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked K27 | 9c | 573.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 643 | 56.9%366 W · 277 L | +40.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed K27 | 62c | 566.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 301 | 48.8%147 W · 154 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed HOTU | 38c | 541.34$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.77 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked K27 | 51c | 500$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 952 | 45.8%436 W · 516 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 53c | 454.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.45 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 47c | 388.52$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.37 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed K27 | 31c | 360.55$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked HOTU | 52c | 333.03$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.85 | 606 | 39.9%242 W · 364 L | -14.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked K27 | 40c | 305$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 1,932 | 42.2%815 W · 1,117 L | -69.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 53c | 292.43$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.57 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed HOTU | 59c | 268.7$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 1,388 | 66.3%920 W · 468 L | +75.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked HOTU | 42c | 258.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7af…f22ebacked HOTU | 67c | 231.18$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed HOTU | 39c | 215.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6343backed HOTU | 50c | 202.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed K27 | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked K27 | 60c | 191.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked K27 | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 434 | 37.6%163 W · 271 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed K27 | 64c | 178.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 321 | 43.6%140 W · 181 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed K27 | 62c | 177.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed K27 | 57c | 175.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 381 | 45.9%175 W · 206 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed HOTU | 70c | 164.77$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 448 | 75.7%339 W · 109 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked HOTU | 69c | 162$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked K27 | 44c | 160.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 435 | 38.9%169 W · 266 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed HOTU | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 575 | 37.9%218 W · 357 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 42c | 146.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…c4f4backed K27 | 61c | 146.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU | 39c | 135$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 4,261 | 49.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L | +62.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked HOTU | 38c | 125.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2,244 | 47.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked HOTU | 39c | 125$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 3,256 | 51.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L | +89.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed HOTU | 40c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed HOTU | 44c | 114.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 1,161 | 42.2%490 W · 671 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…7ed6backed HOTU | 43c | 112$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…9590backed K27 | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked K27 | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 315 | 48.6%153 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed K27 | 64c | 87.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 358 | 48%172 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked K27 | 56c | 83.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 2,192 | 47.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…6b32backed K27 | 59c | 76.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed HOTU | 40c | 70.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 2,674 | 51.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed K27 | 52c | 68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked K27 | 45c | 59.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,212 | 54.4%659 W · 553 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked K27 | 45c | 50.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2,441 | 42.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L | -72.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed K27 | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed K27 | 63c | 47.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HOTU | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed K27 | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 544 | 48.2%262 W · 282 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed K27 | 49c | 39.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…8fa6backed HOTU | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed K27 | 56c | 35.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed HOTU | 48c | 33.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked K27 | 60c | 32.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked K27 | 46c | 29.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…c5fdbacked K27 | 57c | 28.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked K27 | 38c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2,237 | 43.2%966 W · 1,271 L | -70.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed K27 | 45c | 23.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2,412 | 45.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L | -62.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…b55fbacked K27 | 58c | 23.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked HOTU | 60c | 23.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked HOTU | 47c | 22.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 2,585 | 34.6%894 W · 1,691 L | -200.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed K27 | 58c | 18.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked HOTU | 77c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 33 | 87.9%29 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.