CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62d8a2d69e309ab0a24c3bb92b748f3325a5d4387f106ca4d0f416ff98faa226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked HOTU | 63c | 3,569$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.63 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked K27 | 57c | 1,537$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.2 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked K27 | 40c | 1,041$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.26 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed K27 | 33c | 954.09$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.95 | 373 | 46.1%172 W · 201 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed HOTU | 56c | 787.47$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.9 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked HOTU | 53c | 640.35$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.32 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 50c | 600.9$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.53 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed K27 | 33c | 572.29$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.94 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…102abacked HOTU | 38c | 501.05$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked K27 | 43c | 397.13$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.31 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked K27 | 37c | 388.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed K27 | 31c | 375.6$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked K27 | 47c | 351.97$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.52 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed HOTU | 30c | 335.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 188 | 51.1%96 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed HOTU | 32c | 295.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.93 | 155 | 33.5%52 W · 103 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked HOTU | 31c | 280$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 368 | 47.6%175 W · 193 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HOTU | 36c | 244.37$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed HOTU | 54c | 230.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 61c | 217.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…3dddbacked K27 | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…9590backed HOTU | 42c | 204$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…02febacked K27 | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked HOTU | 67c | 175.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed HOTU | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed K27 | 45c | 132.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked K27 | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed K27 | 48c | 121.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked K27 | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed HOTU | 68c | 115.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed K27 | 43c | 103.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed K27 | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked K27 | 54c | 87.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed HOTU | 59c | 84.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked K27 | 46c | 82.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 336 | 58.6%197 W · 139 L | +23.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked K27 | 45c | 75.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed HOTU | 55c | 73.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 184 | 48.4%89 W · 95 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed HOTU | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked K27 | 46c | 63.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HOTU | 44c | 63.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…c5fdbacked HOTU | 41c | 60.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked K27 | 51c | 60.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 344 | 62.2%214 W · 130 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed K27 | 64c | 52.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked K27 | 51c | 52.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 286 | 37.4%107 W · 179 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed HOTU | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked HOTU | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +265%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked K27 | 68c | 46.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 60c | 45.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked K27 | 65c | 45.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed HOTU | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed K27 | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed K27 | 66c | 39.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 358 | 48%172 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…3467backed HOTU | 55c | 38.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed K27 | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked HOTU | 30c | 34.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed K27 | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 89 | 73%65 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked K27 | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed K27 | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 224 | 50.9%114 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked HOTU | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 53c | 27.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed HOTU | 71c | 27.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 58 | 82.8%48 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed K27 | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.