CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfedeb263f90a2e086d3aa0424ecba37a5a9eb2dcf1865a90e23ace6d5f22681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of Aurora Gaming, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,096,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,122,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,096,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed G2 | 52c | 456,979$237,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219,278 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…9ccfbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 206,634$99,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,615.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,000 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 85,000$39,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,949.97 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed G2 | 52c | 60,343$31,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,967.73 | 262 | 56.1%147 W · 115 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 48,487$24,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,152.11 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 52c | 41,443$21,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,923.54 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked G2 | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,149.94 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…5972backed G2 | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed G2 | 58c | 21,190$12,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,952.94 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 18,486$8,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,873.26 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked G2 | 52c | 17,000$8,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 16,400$8,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,036 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 14,238$6,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,971.03 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed G2 | 52c | 12,957$6,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,219.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed G2 | 52c | 12,077$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,796.92 | 492 | 51%251 W · 241 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 11,428$5,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485.39 | 332 | 32.2%107 W · 225 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 11,097$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 10,675$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,236.47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…4adbbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 10,289$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed G2 | 51c | 10,205$5,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.44 | 352 | 54%190 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…6657backed G2 | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…8088backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 9,845$4,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed G2 | 74c | 9,512$7,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.25 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 9,493$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.98 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 9,174$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,066.24 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 8,634$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.24 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ea…8815backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 8,343$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 8,268$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.25 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 8,025$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.83 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed G2 | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed G2 | 73c | 7,000$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 6,743$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.5 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 | 68c | 6,424$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.4 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…266cbacked G2 | 52c | 6,100$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 5,673$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.42 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed G2 | 51c | 5,352$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.7 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…daa1backed G2 | 52c | 5,150$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed G2 | 66c | 5,114$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.37 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 187 | 24.1%45 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed G2 | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked G2 | 52c | 4,666$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.73 | 238 | 46.2%110 W · 128 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed G2 | 72c | 4,552$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.51 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab28…c210backed G2 | 72c | 4,500$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 4,300$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 294 | 43.9%129 W · 165 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…dd4dbacked G2 | 51c | 4,125$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked G2 | 71c | 4,032$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.21 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed G2 | 52c | 3,972$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.56 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked G2 | 73c | 3,950$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 3,716$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.34 | 598 | 41.3%247 W · 351 L | -20.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked G2 | 62c | 3,634$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.09 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 3,603$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.71 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G2 | 52c | 3,362$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.08 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked G2 | 71c | 3,326$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.67 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed G2 | 51c | 3,315$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.2 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 3,275$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.75 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…158bbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 3,048$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed G2 | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,906$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,864$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.37 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac7…7d39backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 2,620$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 2,610$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.97 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,600$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,568$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.6 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 2,465$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.97 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 2,374$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.35 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed G2 | 40c | 2,218$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.8 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed G2 | 50c | 2,182$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.79 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 2,158$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.61 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked G2 | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked G2 | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.97 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…1999backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,980$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…2ee6backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,980$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked G2 | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed G2 | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.79 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked G2 | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 | 58c | 1,888$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.4 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked G2 | 68c | 1,770$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.96 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,714$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.55 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed G2 | 52c | 1,564$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.9 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 1,528$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.72 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…5850backed G2 | 65c | 1,523$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.97 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,509$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed G2 | 52c | 1,507$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.52 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed G2 | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,473$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.04 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7d…df55backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 1,428$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.96 | 218 | 22%48 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x136b…c35abacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 1,372$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,331$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.03 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…46d7backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 1,278$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…2f6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 1,250$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.05 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.