CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x877e97bc65fec82b3ab74d119e3fe58c4ae650168baa540c1ddfc8d77e61237a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of Aurora Gaming, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef53…9ef1backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 14,313$6,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,870.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 8,110$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed G2 | 50c | 7,882$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.94 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 7,586$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.11 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 6,996$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.5 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 6,678$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.43 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 6,556$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.6 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 6,299$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.48 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked G2 | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked G2 | 52c | 5,989$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.79 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99c…7e96backed G2 | 52c | 5,355$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…2ec4backed G2 | 56c | 4,995$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed G2 | 46c | 4,878$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.23 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…053ebacked G2 | 78c | 4,753$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.13 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed G2 | 61c | 4,592$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.04 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 4,500$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed G2 | 49c | 4,332$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.29 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed G2 | 76c | 4,036$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.24 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 4,008$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.03 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed G2 | 52c | 3,844$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.12 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 3,260$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.58 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 3,144$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.18 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9469backed G2 | 54c | 3,000$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked G2 | 51c | 2,936$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.29 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…266cbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 2,806$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 | 54c | 2,806$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.23 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed G2 | 53c | 2,569$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.38 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 2,203$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…f06ebacked G2 | 57c | 2,057$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked G2 | 58c | 2,001$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.24 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed G2 | 50c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.05 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed G2 | 47c | 1,987$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 1,960$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.15 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,906$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.82 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,843$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.61 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed G2 | 53c | 1,666$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.02 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c4…fe32backed G2 | 52c | 1,658$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,640$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.36 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed G2 | 57c | 1,543$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.84 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed G2 | 39c | 1,504$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.44 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora Gaming | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 378 | 45.5%172 W · 206 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.98 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,476$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,460$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.28 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,434$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.93 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed G2 | 49c | 1,414$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.46 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed G2 | 52c | 1,324$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.57 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…019ebacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 106 | 13.2%14 W · 92 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…a700backed G2 | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked G2 | 53c | 1,273$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.45 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…d335backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 1,200$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.35 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45eb…36eebacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…bd96backed G2 | 58c | 1,200$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 | 65c | 1,135$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.17 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed G2 | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed G2 | 52c | 1,090$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.99 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked G2 | 52c | 1,079$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.93 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed G2 | 52c | 1,003$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.21 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed G2 | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed G2 | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed G2 | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed G2 | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Aurora Gaming | 2c | 956$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 904.31$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.36 | 552 | 32.4%179 W · 373 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 897.95$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked G2 | 51c | 863.23$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.17 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 849.82$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.71 | 255 | 53.3%136 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed G2 | 53c | 822.37$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.63 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 807.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 796.36$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed G2 | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 734.88$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.4 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 | 57c | 734.65$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.8 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed G2 | 55c | 726$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed G2 | 58c | 689.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.21 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…4289backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 671.55$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.49 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked G2 | 59c | 666.68$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.29 | 735 | 53.5%393 W · 342 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…ebdfbacked G2 | 51c | 647.93$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…d9f6backed G2 | 51c | 628.77$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 628.36$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.83 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 620.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.66 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 615.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 156 | 58.3%91 W · 65 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked G2 | 51c | 594$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.06 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed G2 | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked G2 | 57c | 529.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked G2 | 55c | 529$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.05 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed G2 | 42c | 521.74$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.61 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed G2 | 60c | 516.12$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.3 | 692 | 53.6%371 W · 321 L | -23.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked G2 | 35c | 510$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.8 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab28…c210backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked G2 | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 492.18$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.29 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 | 69c | 483.72$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.62 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.