CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06893d14f9a562a5d96d635e19040cf615771969a87fb05ce63d34e1458fbf3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 3,138$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.47 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 2,043$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.55 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Over | 49c | 1,027$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.24 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Over | 52c | 798.94$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.45 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 50c | 517.81$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.91 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 492.1$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.85 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 50c | 404$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.07 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…8189backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 47c | 272.87$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 260$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 53c | 229.35$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…da90backed Under | 53c | 210$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Over | 55c | 199.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 31c | 190.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed Over | 52c | 181.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…33b4backed Under | 49c | 150.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 150.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…be99backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 49c | 127.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…5c7ebacked Over | 49c | 115.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 49c | 113.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 502 | 51%256 W · 246 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Over | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 85.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 45c | 78.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed Under | 31c | 74.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Under | 35c | 62.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Over | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…b241backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 296 | 61.1%181 W · 115 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 42c | 45.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 54c | 42.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Under | 49c | 41.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 52c | 38.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 395 | 38.7%153 W · 242 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Over | 69c | 37.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 141 | 69.5%98 W · 43 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 37.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…830ebacked Over | 53c | 35.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 167 | 64.1%107 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 52c | 31.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3793…8f46backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59a…0b67backed Under | 51c | 28.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Over | 59c | 28.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 617 | 54%333 W · 284 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 25.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 40c | 25.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…3a4cbacked Over | 51c | 24.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…5acdbacked Over | 59c | 24.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Over | 69c | 23.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…4d37backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e1…4682backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.