Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacdb65c6837272d91c669422b98feb50408b722461da9a81081378a7aac70812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,707 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 50c | 20,274$10,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,072.86 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 19,474$6,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,265.33 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 15c | 12,853$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.89 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 12,260$9,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.15 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked No | 45c | 10,464$4,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,769.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 9,988$7,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.09 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 77c | 9,877$7,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.71 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 51c | 9,259$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 8,689$5,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.02 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 31c | 6,480$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes | 2c | 5,937$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 77c | 3,333$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.59 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 33c | 3,295$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 3,050$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 19c | 3,026$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 75c | 2,561$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.28 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 2,372$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.86 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 2,125$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.56 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 25c | 2,021$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed No | 75c | 1,862$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 6c | 1,585$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 24c | 1,458$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 76c | 1,437$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.99 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…e882backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked No | 48c | 1,193$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.21 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,178$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.66 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 48c | 1,129$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 1,063$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.7 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 77c | 959.98$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…484fbacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 75c | 891.81$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 12c | 877$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 65c | 800$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.54 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 24c | 750$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked Yes | 24c | 714.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f6…21bebacked No | 50c | 680$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 52c | 654.81$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.31 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 15c | 649.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 50c | 636.3$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.65 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 58c | 615.34$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 18c | 602.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 51c | 599.98$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 13c | 554.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 536.71$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.86 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 512.21$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 48c | 462.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed No | 73c | 453.75$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 8c | 450$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 44c | 446$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 68c | 444$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 21c | 442.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Yes | 26c | 442.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 48c | 441.41$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 32c | 427.06$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed No | 47c | 426.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…e547backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 24c | 406.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 23c | 404.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 75c | 404.51$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 76c | 399.98$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Yes | 23c | 324.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 80c | 321.25$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 48c | 320$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Yes | 24c | 313.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…e72bbacked Yes | 25c | 312.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 45c | 310.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Yes | 14c | 285.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 54c | 281.48$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 54c | 278.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 43c | 275.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 49c | 271.51$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Como 1907 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.