Euroleague · resolved market
Joventut vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5075127da55b8fc943b77cc65bf03e07dbcc84ae0ebf2aa6fdfe14261cceb1f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joventutof Joventut, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,175 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Joventut | 51c | 2,725$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.34 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Joventut | 50c | 2,697$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Joventut | 73c | 2,677$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.13 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Joventut | 53c | 1,881$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.96 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Joventut | 51c | 1,762$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Barcelona | 50c | 1,728$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Barcelona | 24c | 1,249$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Barcelona | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Barcelona | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Barcelona | 49c | 591.84$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Barcelona | 30c | 556.81$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Barcelona | 32c | 515.55$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.37 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…dbdbbacked Barcelona | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Barcelona | 24c | 397.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a21…c651backed Joventut | 52c | 385.89$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Barcelona | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…148ebacked Barcelona | 37c | 319.34$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Joventut | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Barcelona | 48c | 285$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Barcelona | 38c | 276.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Barcelona | 49c | 261.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Barcelona | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Barcelona | 49c | 229.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Barcelona | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…e443backed Barcelona | 49c | 208.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Barcelona | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Barcelona | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a48dbacked Barcelona | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Barcelona | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 49c | 183.24$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Barcelona | 48c | 174.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Barcelona | 49c | 159$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Barcelona | 27c | 139.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joventut | 73c | 127.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Barcelona | 40c | 125.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Barcelona | 34c | 117.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Barcelona | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Barcelona | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Joventut | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Barcelona | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Barcelona | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…6ff9backed Joventut | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Barcelona | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Barcelona | 34c | 88.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Barcelona | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Barcelona | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Barcelona | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Barcelona | 49c | 81.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Joventut | 64c | 79.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Joventut | 53c | 75.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Joventut | 70c | 68.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Barcelona | 37c | 58.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Joventut | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Joventut | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…6326backed Barcelona | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Barcelona | 48c | 41.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Barcelona | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Barcelona | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Barcelona | 52c | 36.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Barcelona | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Barcelona | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Joventut | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Joventut | 76c | 19.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.