TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$485,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$499,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets49c98,142$48,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,053.081,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Flyers50c92,679$45,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,955.911,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Blue Jackets56c79,493$44,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,976.9248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Blue Jackets51c71,973$36,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,463.5819848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf195…8057backed Flyers44c69,139$30,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,421.195352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Flyers51c57,137$29,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,137.8262951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Flyers44c40,000$17,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,599.9722443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Flyers43c25,195$10,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,929.7127448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Blue Jackets56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6005261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Blue Jackets56c14,938$8,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,579.4161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets61c12,268$7,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,725.2441850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Flyers58c11,522$6,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,656.785464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Blue Jackets55c10,361$5,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,662.5567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Flyers52c10,000$5,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1605046%23 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blue Jackets56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Blue Jackets49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9826058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Flyers50c9,469$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.971,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Flyers14c7,835$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.4439344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Flyers50c7,442$3,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,731.452,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers51c7,044$3,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,561.991,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers44c6,231$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.651,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Flyers44c4,637$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.323743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Flyers45c4,300$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.1564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.961,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flyers45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8491945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blue Jackets54c3,069$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.4283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets56c2,821$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.721,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Flyers46c2,755$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.611,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Blue Jackets56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jackets56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Flyers51c2,432$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.327358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets76c2,239$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.953,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Blue Jackets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00040356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blue Jackets55c1,965$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.4789249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jackets56c1,865$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.495049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Blue Jackets54c1,828$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.6730552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Flyers44c1,778$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.2213445.5%61 W · 73 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers36c1,762$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.462,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Flyers45c1,711$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7706946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Blue Jackets54c1,666$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.06850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Flyers51c1,500$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.2921048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x210b…29b5backed Blue Jackets56c1,488$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.613452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Flyers45c1,439$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6483743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flyers47c1,432$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.6957157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Blue Jackets56c1,419$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.3679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Flyers27c1,169$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.382,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Blue Jackets55c1,111$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9510850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Blue Jackets56c1,105$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.367149.3%35 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Flyers1c1,056$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5690%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Flyers48c1,047$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004143.9%18 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Flyers50c1,004$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-54.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Blue Jackets54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4609853.1%52 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Flyers1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Flyers44c999.98$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.999157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Flyers45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Flyers45c890$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.522352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d31…0286backed Flyers47c863.83$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Blue Jackets49c856$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.5626551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Flyers41c849.99$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34814757.1%84 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Blue Jackets52c841.22$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.1221754.8%119 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Blue Jackets50c835$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.1726657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Flyers44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35227850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Blue Jackets55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36031851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Flyers44c799.99$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35432150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers49c793.68$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.489636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…814fbacked Flyers45c784.6$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.074250%21 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4347…84b3backed Flyers45c724.2$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.893756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d65…4ff0backed Blue Jackets56c707.75$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.411764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+43%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bc7…88d6backed Flyers7c704.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d9…e72dbacked Blue Jackets56c669.75$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.691361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Blue Jackets56c666$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.048056.3%45 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Blue Jackets56c647$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6861953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Flyers44c626.32$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.0291653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Blue Jackets51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2943762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Blue Jackets49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3068752.9%46 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba8…a137backed Blue Jackets56c593$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Blue Jackets56c580$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.220655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88bd…c088backed Flyers46c576.19$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.053336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf767…0fb0backed Blue Jackets56c558.25$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.632152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Blue Jackets53c556$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9525635.9%92 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Flyers45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ede…17cbbacked Blue Jackets56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.716958%40 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Blue Jackets52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.54450%22 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Flyers31c500$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Flyers9c500$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4690%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers38c499.91$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9760337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…ade0backed Blue Jackets56c478.25$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.434744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Flyers45c477.09$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.681,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Blue Jackets38c442$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.041,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Blue Jackets56c410.71$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7112544.8%56 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Flyers8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid+123.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Flyers45c399.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18038555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe540…2108backed Flyers46c397.62$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Blue Jackets62c382.89$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7729448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Flyers50c378.2$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4737857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Blue Jackets55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.643751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed Blue Jackets55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.645658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Flyers51c360.59$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.914048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf82b…ec5abacked Flyers45c348.4$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.781855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Flyers32c345.95$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.74748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.